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6 NFL Teams haven't had an MVP winner yet: A recap of the last time they had a candidate, and prediction on who will be the 1st winner
The Texans, Cardinals, Jets, Jaguars, Saints, and the Buccaneers have never had an MVP winner. Just 3 years ago the Chiefs and Ravens were on the list, but Mahomes and Lamar put an end to that Last time each team had a viable candidate Texans: Obviously JJ Watt is the best case here. He had a historic 2014 season, with over 20 Sacks, 29 Tackles for Loss and 4 forced fumbles, along with a pick 6. You could make a case if the Texans sneak into the playoffs he takes it. Watson had a good start in 2019 and in 2018 lead the Texans on a 9 game winning streak after starting 0-3, but I don’t think he was every the favorite in either year. He was a fringe candidate at best I’d say. Cardinals: Carson Palmer received 1 vote in 2015 after a terrific year where he and Cardinals went for over 4600 passing yards with 35 TDs. He led the league in Y/A, QBR, and ANY/A. However, I never felt like he was in the lead during the race. Cause Brady was the frontrunner after a 10-0 start, and by the time the Patriots faultered, Cam had ascended to another level with 25 TDs to 1 INT to finish the season. Vegas odds back this up, Palmer never lead the race. Here I’d go with Kurt Warner. Especially considering the QB play was way down in 2008. Peyton ended up winning it with a fairly pedestrian 4002 yards, 27 TDs 12 INTs and the Colts didn’t even win their own division. But through 10 games, Warner was 270-381 (70.8%) 3155 yards, 20 TDs and 7 INTs. He was on pace for 5048 yards passing, which would have been the 2nd most all time in 2008. (2nd place was Warner himself with 4830 yards, Marino was first). And the Cardinals were 7-3 and cakewalking to the NFC West crown. Despite the fact their run game was worst in the league. The voters agreed, Warner was the leader midway through season. So did Vegas I said at the time if Warner put up numbers anything like he was on pace for he had to be the NFL MVP. Put up 5k yards, 32 TDs and 10 INTs and win your division, I don't see how you deny him the MVP. But he faulted down the stretch and Peyton took MVP (What else is new). Jets: Not counting Namath’s AFL MVP, the Jets have never really had an MVP candidate. Maybe if you want to be a contrarian and say Curtis Martin in 2004, where he had 1700 yards and 12 TDs, along with Jets going 10-6, you could but considering Peyton threw 49 TDs, your case would be slim at best Jaguars: Again like the Jets, the Jaguars have not had a legit MVP candidate. No one had a real case here for me to even try to make one. However, I’m a huge believer in T-Law so maybe that fortunate can turn for Jacksonville. Saints: Drew Brees had some historically great years, but always had them timed wrong. In 2009, he went 13-2 and led league in completion %, but Peyton had 7 4th quarter comebacks and went 14-0 before resting last 2 games. In 2011, he broke Dan Marino’s yardage record, going 13-3 but Aaron Rodgers had the most efficient season in league history. And in 2018, he broke his own completion % record again, but Mahomes went 5k and 50. Tough luck for Drew. His best case for in 2018. He did lead the Vegas odds in the MVP race after Mahomes 5 Turnover days vs Rams. At the time Brees had 25 TDs to 1 INT, but faltered down the stretch, going on 7 TDs to 4 INTs and losing to the Cowboys. Bucs: Tom Brady was in the running halfway through this year, especially when the Bucs were 6-2, but 3 losses in the next 4 ended any hopes he had to get the Bucs their 1st MVP. But I think he helped them get something a little better. With an offseason to get in rhythm, maybe Brady could get the MVP in 2021. He’s 44, but I’ve learned to never doubt Tom Brady. Who is the most likely to get their 1st MVP? In order from most likely to lease, I'd go
Cardinals- I really like Kyler's game. If he can cut down on his turnovers some and become a little more consistent passer, it wouldn't surprise me to see him win an MVP
Jaguars- I've seen Lawrence play since he was in high school. The man has it all. Build around him and he will light up the stat sheet. Jags got a great one and I'd be very surprised if he doesn't make Jags into a force in the AFC south
Jets- That 2nd overall pick looks good there. If they can pick the right QB from the Lance, Fields and Wilson bunch, I could see some offense brought to New York. I feel all 3 guys will need good coaching to reach their potential, but they all have high, MVP caliber ceilings
Bucs- I don't doubt Tom Brady, but winning MVP at age 44 would be remarkable. I don't see this as likely
Saints- Sean Payton is a great offensive mind, but with no Brees and some questions at the QB spot, I don't think an MVP is coming to NOLA anytime soon
Texans- If Deshaun is traded which is looking very likely, Houston will be in a full rebuild. No QB is winning MVP on a 3-13 squad, which unfortunately looks like Houston's future right now
What are your thoughts? Which team will finally get their 1st MVP?
This is just mock draft 1 and we're a long way from the actual draft so I'm open to criticism, position suggestions, player evaluation disagreements, etc. Let me know what you think (third round explanations deleted due to word count restraints).
Jacksonville Jaguars - QB Trevor Lawrence, Clemson. Lawrence is in the discussion for best QB prospect of all time and will be the pick.
New York Jets - QB Justin Fields, Ohio State. I'm working under the assumption that Deshaun Watson will not be traded. After a deep dive into analytics and spending way too much time breaking down game tape, I personally would go with Fields over Wilson. But, they have virtually the same grade and I would not be shocked by either player being picked.
Denver Broncos (from Miami via Houston) - QB Zach Wilson, BYU. With Zach Wilson still on the board at pick 3, John Elway, George Paton and the Broncos go all in to get their franchise QB. If your division rival is lining up Patrick Mahomes under center, you need to do better than Drew Lock to compete. The Broncos have a franchise left tackle to anchor their line, and a very talented young group of weapons. They've build a roster friendly to a franchise QB, so the timing is right to make this move for Denver. As the Rams have proven, you don't need first round picks to build a roster that competes for championships.
Atlanta Falcons - OT Penei Sewell, Oregon. I 'm not sure this move will be popular with Falcons fans, but here goes. With the Broncos trading up and taking the last of the top QBs in this class off the board, the Falcons suddenly have a difficult decision to make. Do you take a raw, inexperienced QB like Trey Lance, or do you take best player available? Here I have the Falcons going best player available because Matt Ryan is still a top QB, and due to his contract situation he's going to be on the roster for at least two more years. That gives them a bigger window to add more talent to the roster before selecting Ryan's replacement. And it would probably be prudent for the Falcons to build a roster then get a QB, rather than get a QB and build the roster after, when the QB prospect in question is a project. Unfortunately, there are no pass rushing prospects who really fit here, although Dean Pees' defense should help to mask that deficiency some and there are good value prospects who should be available on day 2. A.J. Terrell had a promising rookie season, but beyond him they need both depth and talent at CB so one of the top CB prospects is an option here. However, for Arthur Smith's new offense getting a prospect like Sewell is too good of an option. With his contract being easy to move on from, I'm projecting the Falcons cut James Carpenter and select Sewell to move to guard to start his career. This gives them a lot of talent on the offensive line and a lot of flexibility in the future. Should Matthews begin to decline, they can move on and slide Sewell out to left. If McGary doesn't get better in his third year, Sewell could be a long term replacement there. And the main factor that led me to making this pick is that Arthur Smith didn't take the Atlanta job to rebuild. He's got a really good QB in Matt Ryan and Sewell at guard gives the Falcons the best chance at closing out the Ryan era on a high note.
Cincinnati Bengals - OT Rashawn Slater, Northwestern. Thanks to the Broncos trading up for Wilson, the Bengals are guaranteed at least one of the top offensive line prospects in the class being on the board, and although Sewell is gone at 4 Slater is still an excellent prize at 5. As tempting as it may be to reunite Burrow and Chase, the Bengals have to protect their franchise QB. Ideally, Jonah Williams is healthy, but after two years he's had a tough time staying on the field so a guy like Slater who can play any position on the line is perfect here.
Philadelphia Eagles - WR Devonta Smith, Alabama. While I do think it would be smart for the Eagles to draft a CB here, I think Nick Sirianni's odds of surviving in Philly will go way down if he can't fix Wentz. I also think Roseman knows his job is tied to the success of Wentz, given the contract he gave to Wentz. Because of that I've decided to go with a WR here. If I'm being honest, I'm not entirely sure that Smith is the best WR prospect in this class. It's really close between the top 3. However, I think the areas in which Smith excels make him the best fit for Sirianni's offense.
Detroit Lions - WR Ja'Marr Chase, LSU. While QB was expected to be a target, thanks to the acquisition of Jared Goff the Lions do not need to draft a QB here. In fact, I think it's pretty unlikely that the Lions pick a QB here. Jared Goff has had success in the NFL and he's helped lead his team to a Super Bowl, he may not be a top QB but he's a capable starter. Given the influx of draft capital, the Lions cap situation, and the fact that Goff's contract is virtually unmovable for the next two years they are likely going to use this window to build the roster back up. While I think a CB could be a good fit here, they did just draft Okudah last year who should be given a chance to grow in a new defense, especially since the transition from college to the NFL takes longer at that position. Micah Parsons is tempting here too, as linebacker is a need for the Lions. But given the cap situation and the fact that Kenny Golladay, Marvin Jones, Mohamed Sanu, and Danny Amendola are all set to be free agents, I've decided to give the Lions a WR. Not only does this give the Lions a cheap, young, and talented option at WR (allowing them to move on from some of those would-be free agents), he's also arguably the top prospect left on the board.
Carolina Panthers - CB Patrick Surtain II, Alabama. There are a lot of options the Panthers could go with here. I debated between Micah Parsons and Surtain here because while I think the Panthers defense should improve next year, they're still missing consistent ILB play as well as a true #1 CB. Ultimately I chose Surtain over Parsons based on positional value given similar position on my board. I also chose Surtain over Farley because I think he's a better fit in Phil Snow's defense. He's physical and sticky in coverage, and I think he would be a great complement at cornerback to go with safety Chinn. I think OL could be considered here, but I'm not sure reaching for OL when there is better value at other positions of need makes sense. Trey Lance could be an option here, but I (perhaps incorrectly) think Fitterer and Rhule will pass on a QB if they can get a top defensive prospect. This would effectively buy another year for them to build up the roster if they choose to go with a QB in the first round of 2022.
Miami Dolphins (from Denver) - LB Micah Parsons, Penn State. Thanks to a number of trades, real and mocked, the Dolphins have a lot of draft capital and they can use some of that to get weapons for Tua Tagovailoa. But here, they take the best player still on the board. Brian Flores loves to blitz, and Parsons is one of the best blitzing linebacker prospects in years. Jaylen Waddle would be a good pick here too, but the fit is too perfect for me to pass here.
Dallas Cowboys - CB Caleb Farley, Virginia Tech. The Cowboys offense will not be a problem with Prescott back in the lineup. The defense needs a lot of work though, so as tempting as Kyle Pitts may be the Cowboys will almost certainly go defense here. The Cowboys have some cornerbacks set to be free agents but they are not worth re-signing. Farley is the best cornerback on the board and is a great value here for Dallas. The Cowboys could look at a couple other positions on defense, but they won't find the value they'd be getting in Caleb Farley.
Chicago Bears (from New York Giants) - QB Trey Lance, North Dakota State. With the 49ers pick looming, the Bears pull the trigger to move up and get their QB. The Bears have Nick Foles under contract for two more years but he can be cut after next season. Given that situation, the Bears can afford to sit Lance for at least a year and let him develop. He's got all of the tools to be a great QB, but due to the fact that he only played one year at the FCS level, he falls to 11.
San Francisco 49ers - CB Jaycee Horn, South Carolina. Injuries decimated a roster that is talented enough to compete for championships when healthy, so the 49ers can afford to focus on needs. Horn might be seen as a reach here by some, but the drop-off at cornerback is huge and the 49ers need to address the position in the offseason with so many impending free agents. Regardless, Horn is an excellent prospect and be a good pick for first time DC Ryans.
Los Angeles Chargers - OL Alijah Vera-Tucker, USC. Justin Herbert emerged as one of the most promising young QBs in the game despite poor offensive line play. The Chargers need to improve the line, so they can't justify reaching for a tackle because of positional value. They just need to take the best lineman on the board, and that's Vera-Tucker. There's some discussion as to whether he can make it as a tackle at the next level, but most have him projected as a guard. Wherever he plays, he should be an upgrade for the Chargers.
Minnesota Vikings - EDGE Kwity Paye, Michigan. The Vikings would love to improve their interior offensive line, but there's better value on day 2, so the Vikings go with a pass rusher here. The Vikings had one of the best defenses in 2019, and a big part of that was the pass rush. Last year however, the pass rush was ineffective and the defense fell apart. Getting Danielle Hunter back and pairing him with Paye while rotating D.J. Wonnum and Jalyn Holmes in could restore the Vikings pass rush and help get them back to the postseason.
New England Patriots - LB Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, Notre Dame. Although he played in a different scheme at Notre Dame than Bill Belichick uses, Owusu-Koramoah is one of the most versatile defenders in the class. He has shown the ability to rush the passer, drop back in coverage, and his elite sideline to sideline speed for the position that makes him an ideal linebacker against modern offenses. The Patriots need to get younger and faster on defense. As much as I want to add a weapon like Waddle or Pitts to the Patriots, I'm just not convinced that Belichick will actually do that in the first round.
Arizona Cardinals - EDGE Jaelan Phillips, Miami (FL). With Haason Reddick and Markus Golden both set to hit free agency, and Chandler Jones coming off of an injury, heading into his age 31 season, and on the final year of his contract, the Cardinals pass rush is inevitably going to look different in the next couple of years. With a prospect as good as Phillips on the board, drafting him to replace Jones and re-signing Reddick will give the Cardinals a formidable pass rush for the foreseeable future. If the Cardinals want to continue to close the gap with the Rams and Seahawks, they can't let their pass rush decline.
Las Vegas Raiders - WR Jaylen Waddle, Alabama. Every year a couple players drop farther than they should. This year, one of those players is Jaylen Waddle. The Raiders need to improve their defense, and there are some tempting players on the board for the Raiders to take, such as Gregory Rousseau. But the Raiders outside threats could have been better this year, and Jon Gruden will jump at the opportunity to put Waddle with Waller and Ruggs. Waddle is up there with the best weapons in this class, so this is a great value for the Raiders at 17.
Miami Dolphins - WR Kadarius Toney, Florida. Having already landed one of the best defensive players, Miami now turns its attention to surrounding Tagovailoa with the talent to thrive. The Dolphins got good production from DeVante Parker and Mike Gesicki, but could upgrade the rest of their receiving corps. Toney is electric and gives the Dolphins a playmaker over the middle of the field, which is exactly what Miami could use to help Tagovailoa grow.
Washington Football Team - TE Kyle Pitts, Florida. Washington didn't get their QB in this draft, but they get incredible value at 19 in Pitts. Besides Terry McLaurin, Washington doesn't really have a true playmaker at receiver so Pitts would immediately upgrade the offense. Given how good Washington's defense is, if they can't get a QB by trading up their main goal should be to improve their weapons and Pitts would be the ideal scenario.
New York Giants (from Chicago) - EDGE Gregory Rousseau, Miami (FL). The Giants biggest need is probably their wide receiver room, but with the top prospect on the board being a pass rusher, the Giants go with one of the highest upside defensive prospects in the class in Rousseau. The Giants don't have a lot of talent on the edge, so they fill a need here.
Indianapolis Colts - OT Christian Darrisaw, Virginia Tech. The Colts have boasted one of the best offensive lines in the NFL in recent years, and with Anthony Castonzo retiring, the Colts will want to keep their line in top shape by drafting his replacement. His length, athleticism, and intelligence make him the preferred tackle target for the Colts here.
Tennessee Titans - EDGE Joseph Ossai, Texas. The Titans are a very good team, and most improvements that could be made would be to improve depth. But the one area the Titans desperately need to improve if they want to legitimately compete for championships is their pass rush and defensive line. Ossai is the most explosive pass rush prospect left on the board who can fit with their defensive scheme.
San Francisco 49ers (from New York Jets via Seattle) – QB Mac Jones, Alabama. The 49ers move up to get the guy they believe can be their next franchise QB. In this scenario, the 49ers were targeting Trey Lance at 12, but because of the Chicago trade, they opted instead to take Horn, who is higher on the draft board and can help their secondary which will be losing some pieces to free agency. When Mac Jones gets past Washington at 19, they believe they can move up into the mid-20s for a reasonable value and get their QB. The best value in terms of trading draft capital is at 23, and they have to make this move to get ahead of Pittsburgh who could potentially take Jones to replace Ben Roethlisberger. The 49ers are now without a pick until the 5th round, but it's worth it to secure their QB of the future.
Pittsburgh Steelers - OT Jalen Mayfield, Michigan. The Steelers cap space isn't great right now, although Roethlisberger restructuring his contract will help. In any case, the Steelers are going to have to move on from some players, and one that makes sense is Alejandro Villanueva. He's played well, but he's going to be 33 next year, and rather than paying a veteran LT salary with tight cap space, it makes sense to draft his replacement. Mayfield is very technically sound and is nasty, two things that have defined Pittsburgh offensive line play over the years. There may be concern about him playing right tackle at Michigan, but as Jedrick Wills proved for the Browns, a move to left tackle is possible for a top prospect. Running back is also a possibility here, but there's better value in later rounds.
Jacksonville Jaguars (from Los Angeles Rams) - S Trevon Moehrig, TCU. The Jaguars weren't accidentally the number one pick. They were terrible on both offense and defense, and with so much early draft capital they don't have to reach on players in the name of protecting Lawrence at all costs. The Jaguars have some nice weapons on offense, and there will be good offensive line prospects on the board in the second round. They need to improve their secondary badly, and Moehrig is an immediate impact player with good versatility, and would be an instant upgrade over Josh Jones, who should not return to the team in 2021. Moehrig is arguably the highest graded prospect left on the board, he has a high floor, he's ready to play right away, and he fills a need.
Cleveland Browns - LB Zaven Collins, Tulsa. The Browns have a lot of holes on defense, and linebacker in particular is an area that they need to address. Despite being massive for a linebacker, Collins is quick and athletic and can play in coverage. He also has good pass rushing ability, which is an area that Cleveland needs to improve opposite of Myles Garrett. His versatility makes him valuable in multiple packages which should help him get on the field early, something that Cleveland should value at the end of the first round given that their competitive window is open.
Baltimore Ravens - EDGE Azeez Ojulari, Georgia. The Ravens need to give Lamar Jackson better weapons on the outside, but with such a good, deep running attack, the Ravens can afford to wait until the second round. The Ravens have several pass rushers set to become free agents, and they won't be able to bring all of them back. In any case, the Ravens could use an upgrade at the position anyway. Although Ojulari played in 4 man fronts, his size, speed, and athleticism make him a natural fit as an edge rusher in a 3 man front defense. His energy is also a great fit for the Ravens defense.
New Orleans Saints - EDGE Jayson Oweh, Penn State. The Saints have the worst cap situation in the NFL and because of that they're going to lose some key free agents. One guy that they almost certainly will not be able to retain is breakout DE Trey Hendrickson, who registered 13.5 sacks in 2020 and should be in line for a nice raise on the free agent market. Oweh has tremendous upside due to his freakish athleticism, explosiveness, and length. He's a bit raw, and will need some time to develop, but with Cameron Jordan on the opposite side of the line Oweh is the type of player the Saints can afford to target.
Green Bay Packers - WR Tutu Atwell, Louisville. Aaron Rodgers covers the deficiencies of the wide receiver room well, but the Packers do need to improve their weapons. Adams and Tonyan are good pieces, but St. Brown, Lazard, and Valdez-Scantling can't be the secondary options at wide receiver. Adding an electric slot receiver in Atwell makes sense given the profile of the rest of the receivers on the roster.
Buffalo Bills - EDGE Joe Tryon, Washington. The Bills have a very complete roster, but they could definitely improve their pass rush. Getting to the quarterback, namely Patrick Mahomes, will be the Bills best chance of getting over the hump and into the Super Bowl. Tryon is a nice scheme fit, and should be able to see the field instantly, something a contender like Buffalo will be looking for here. I was tempted to mock a running back here, as there's great talent left on the board, but I think the Bills are more likely to ride with their 3rd round picks from 2019 and 2020, Singletary and Moss.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - DT Levi Onwuzurike, Washington. The Buccaneers have a loaded offense, so the focus should be on the defense, specifically the defensive line. With Gholston having only one more year on his contract, and Suh set to be a free agent, a high upside 3-tech like Onwuzurike makes a lot of sense here. Not to mention, a team that is good enough to make the super bowl can afford to draft BPA, and Onwuzurike is among the best players still on the board here.
Kansas City Chiefs - OL Alex Leatherwood, Alabama. Kansas City needs to start getting younger on the offensive line. Both Eric Fisher and Mitchell Schwartz are under contract for 2021, but after that they're free agents. Leatherwood has shown the versatility to slide in anywhere on the line, and could be a day one starter for the Chiefs wherever they need him. This pick could also be used on another weapon or a defensive player, but the value here is too good for Leatherwood.
Round 2
Jacksonville Jaguars - DL Dayvion Nixon, Iowa. One of the hallmarks of Urban Meyer's Florida and Ohio State teams were deep, talented defensive lines. The Jaguars have a few nice pieces in Josh Allen and Doug Costin, but overall the unit needs to improve. Nixon is one of only a few interior defensive line prospects who offers high upside impact, and getting him here at the start of the second round is good value.
New York Jets - CB Greg Newsome II, Northwestern. The Jets have problems with their cornerbacks. Their best cornerback is set to be a free agent, but even if he returns he's only a slot corner. Bryce Hall has shown a lot of promise, but there's not much on the roster behind him. Newsome is a smart, instinctive corner who will fit into Saleh's scheme nicely, and should be ready to compete for a starting role early.
Atlanta Falcons - RB Najee Harris, Alabama. While it may be unlikely that there are no running backs in the first round (hasn't happened since 2014), I think this draft is so talented that it could happen. As I said earlier, I think the Arthur Smith will try to make win now moves and having a power running game is an important part of Arthur Smith's offensive philosophy. Najee Harris is the top running back on the board and the top prospect left on the board, so everything from fit to value is excellent here for Atlanta.
Miami Dolphins (from Houston) - RB Travis Etienne, Clemson. Another running back off the board, this time it's the electric back from Clemson. Having already added Toney, now the Miami offense gets arguably the top receiving back in the class. This move makes the offense one of the fastest in the league, and the combination of Etienne and Gaskin gives the Dolphins one of the best young running back rooms in the league.
Philadelphia Eagles - CB Eric Stokes, Georgia. I nearly went with a CB in round 1 for the Eagles, but it was too hard to pass up on a receiver. The Eagles have a nice CB1 in Slay, but he's getting older and the rest of the CB group needs to be upgraded. Stokes has the ideal size, speed, and length that teams are looking for on the outside and has the experience to challenge for a starting spot early.
Cincinnati Bengals - EDGE Patrick Jones II, Pittsburgh. The Bengals already added a top offensive lineman for Burrow, but they have to address the defense early on. Even if the Bengals re-sign Lawson, they need to have more talent on the defensive line to get pressure on opposing QBs. Jones is a good scheme fit and his versatility makes him an attractive option here in the 2nd round.
Carolina Panthers - LB Nick Bolton, Missouri. The Panthers add another impact playmaker for Phil Snow's defense, a guy who could fill the void that they were unable to fill after Keuchly's retirement. There are several options here, but Bolton at 39 is incredible value and the Panthers jump all over a guy with first round upside.
Miami Dolphins (from Denver) - C Landon Dickerson, Alabama. Ted Karras is set to be a free agent, but Miami can upgrade the center position here and get the best prospect at the position in the draft. Dickerson has positional versatility and is well respected for his leadership so this is a great value and culture pick for Miami.
Detroit Lions - CB Aaron Robinson, UCF. Robinson has the ideal size and length that NFL teams look for, and he's got a lot of experience both inside and outside. The production from the Lions CB room was abysmal in 2020, so more talent needs to be added, even if Jeff Okudah makes the expected year two leap.
New York Giants - WR Amon-Ra St. Brown, USC. Dave Gettleman is a meat and potatoes guy, and he got his high upside defensive lineman in the first round. But he's going to have to start giving Daniel Jones weapons if they really believe he's the future. Obviously getting Saquon Barkley back will help, but the wide receiver room is aging, and Amon-Ra St. Brown is an outside receiver with WR1 potential who can inject youth and talent into that position group for the Giants.
New York Jets (from San Francisco) - OG Wyatt Davis, Ohio State. The fact that the Jets have a weak offensive line is no secret. Mekhi Becton was a home run draft pick at left tackle last season, but the Jets need to continue adding offensive line talent to avoid their next franchise QB getting killed. Despite another All-American season, Davis' 2020 tape is not as good as his 2019 tape, so he falls to the mid-2nd here. While there are some concerns, he's the best interior offensive line prospect left on the board and he does have upside.
Dallas Cowboys - DT Christian Barmore, Alabama. The Cowboys defense needs to improve, especially in the run game. Neville Gallimore showed promise, but adding Barmore gives the defensive line a lot more depth and talent. Barmore has the experience to step in right away and produce, something that will be important for the Cowboys who should be looking to win a down NFC East with a healthy Prescott.
Jacksonville Jaguars (from Minnesota) - TE Pat Freiermuth, Penn State. Friermuth is an excellent pass catching TE, but he's also one of the better blocking tight ends in this class. This versatility addresses two needs for Jaguars on offense. There's a lot of upside in the Jaguars WR room, so adding a playmaker at TE makes sense, especially because their top tight ends are getting older.
New England Patriots - WR Terrace Marshall Jr., LSU. The Patriots need to address the wide receiver position, and after passing on a WR in the first round they land a falling Marshall with the 46th pick, so the Patriots end up with a great value in the 2nd round.
Los Angeles Chargers - OT Teven Jenkins, Oklahoma State. The Chargers line was so bad, and the value at 47 is so good, that I'm going to mock the Chargers double dipping at offensive line with their first two picks. Sam Tevi's contract is up, and he was not good enough to re-sign. The Chargers have to upgrade this spot, and getting a guy like Jenkins here is an easy decision.
Las Vegas Raiders - DT Marlon Tuipulotu, USC. The Raiders need to upgrade the defensive line, especially on the interior where Maliek Collins and Johnathan Hankins were not high impact players. Tuipulotu has great strength and technique, and has three years of starting experience so he should be ready to start right away for the Raiders.
Arizona Cardinals - CB Asante Samuel Jr., Florida State. Arguably the biggest need for Arizona is cornerback, but with the way the board fell in the first the value was better for other positions of need. Here in the 2nd, they get one of the stickiest corners in the draft. He's a bit undersized, but he's great in man coverage and will be a good scheme fit for Vance Joseph's defense.
Miami Dolphins - EDGE Ronnie Perkins, Oklahoma. The Dolphins pick for the fifth time in this mock already, and have addressed a lot of needs so far. One area where they could get better is pass rush depth. While Perkins doesn't jump out as an ideal fit in Flores' defensive scheme, he's got the size, strength, and athleticism should allow him to transition to a standup edge rusher, or rotate in on pass rush situations with his hand on the dirt. He's got all the tools to create pressure in the NFL, and would give Flores a weapon that would allow him to get creative with his defensive play calls.
Washington Football Team - OT Samuel Cosmi, Texas. Washington has an aging line, so getting some youth in the building would be a good strategy. Cornelius Lucas played well enough to have a chance to win the starting LT job in 2021, but he'll be 30 and in a contract year and Morgan Moses will have two years left on his contract. Financially it would make sense to get a long term solution at tackle early in the draft. Cosmi's strengths are a good fit for Scott Turner's blocking schemes.
New York Giants (from Chicago) - CB Tyson Campbell, Georgia. Using this additional pick acquired from Chicago, the Giants address three of their biggest needs in the first two rounds by taking Campbell to go with Rousseau and St. Brown. There are definitely issues on Campbell's tape, but his assignment's in Graham's defense should minimize those weaknesses while maximizing his strength in man coverage. Campbell has elite size, length, and athleticism, so he has tremendous upside.
Tennessee Titans - WR Rondale Moore, Purdue. The Titans have a very good offense, but are likely going to move on from Corey Davis after the emergence of A.J. Brown. Adding arguably the most electric playmaker in the draft, Rondale Moore, would help keep the Titans offense among the most potent in the NFL.
New York Jets (from Indianapolis) - RB Javonte Williams, UNC. The Jets need to add some weapons, and with Jamison Crowder and Denzel Mims on the roster, and better free agent options such as Allen Robinson, Corey Davis, JuJu Smith-Schuster, and Kenny Golladay potentially hitting the market, the Jets can add the best weapon on the board, Javonte Williams. He's excellent in the passing game and should fit nicely with the new running scheme.
Kansas City Chiefs (from Pittsburgh) - WR Rashod Bateman, Minnesota. With one of the top WR prospects still on the board, and a number of teams ahead of them who could look for a WR, the Chiefs pull the trigger and move up. The Steelers, who have a lot of players headed to free agency, are happy to move down and get more draft picks to try to rebuild the roster with cheaper contracts. Bateman is a good route runner with excellent high point skills, so he's a perfect fit in the offense to replace Watkins.
Seattle Seahawks - OT Dillon Radunz, North Dakota State. The Seahawks need to make a move on the offensive line at some point, and Radunz is a good prospect here. Cedric Ogbuehi is a free agent, but they could upgrade at RT anyway, and Duane Brown is 35 and only has one year left on his contract. The Seahawks could possibly look at a pass rusher or cornerback here, but the best value on the board is at tackle.
Los Angeles Rams - LB Baron Browning, Ohio State. There are rumblings that some teams view Browning as a potential first round talent. The athleticism is off the charts, and he's got the speed, explosiveness, length, and motor that NFL teams covet. The upside is undeniable and he's lauded for his character and leadership. Combine that with his experience and versatility, and he's the kind of guy who can come in right away and upgrade the Rams inside linebacker spot, one of the few positions that needs a major upgrade for a team that's going all in to win a Super Bowl.
Baltimore Ravens - WR Nico Collins, Michigan. The Ravens need to give Lamar Jackson better weapons on the outside, and Nico Collins has elite size and vertical ball skills, something the Ravens are missing at wide receiver. A lot of the best remaining day 2 caliber receivers are better suited for a slot role, so the Ravens pull the trigger on one of the best outside guys left on the board.
Cleveland Browns - EDGE Jordan Smith, UAB. The Browns desperately need to get some pass rushing help opposite of Myles Garrett. There are some red flags with Smith, but the size and athleticism of Smith make him too good to pass up here. With Collins and Smith, the Browns defense gets a lot bigger, faster, and more talented.
New Orleans Saints - LB Chazz Surratt, North Carolina. All of the Saints moves are going to be made with the salary cap in mind. One of the obvious cost saving moves is to cut Kwon Alexander. The Saints would save more than $13 million without taking on any dead money. Surratt is an excellent player who provides the Saints good value here.
Buffalo Bills - DT Jay Tufele, USC. The Bills will want to add a cornerback at some point, but with the way the board has fallen Tufele is too good of a value here to pass up on. The Bills need to get better interior defensive line play, and Tufele fits nicely into Frazier's defensive scheme, so this is a good fit as well.
Green Bay Packers - CB Ifeatu Melifonwu, Syracuse. The Packers could address a number of positions here, but Kevin King played poorly and is set to become a free agent anyway. Melifonwu has elite size, and has been climbing draft boards. He may be a bit of a project, but we're getting into the range where there are very few instant impact guys left on the board.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - C Creed Humphrey, Oklahoma. With Donovan Smith, Ryan Jensen, and Aaron Stinnie's contracts all set to expire either this year or next year, adding some offensive line help makes sense. Jensen is the weakest of the group, and will likely walk in 2021 if the Buccaneers can acquire a top prospect through the draft. Regardless, the Buccaneers are going to have to add more depth to the center group so the talented Humphrey fills a need.
Pittsburgh Steelers (from Kansas City) - RB Michael Carter, North Carolina. James Conner is set to be a free agent, and it makes financial sense for the Steelers to move on from him. Carter is an excellent value at the bottom of the second round, and he's excellent in the passing game, so he'll be a great fit for the Steelers. Running backs also have the ability to make an impact right away, which is crucial for a team looking to make one last run with QB Ben Roethlisberger.
Third Round
Jacksonville Jaguars - OT Liam Eichenberg, Notre Dame.
New York Jets - WR Elijah Moore, Ole Miss.
Houston Texans - S Jevon Holland, Oregon.
Atlanta Falcons - EDGE, Carlos Basham Jr., Wake Forrest.
Cincinnati Bengals - WR D'Wayne Eskridge, Western Michigan.
Philadelphia Eagles - EDGE Quincy Roche, Miami (FL).
Miami Dolphins (from Denver) - S Richie Grant, UCF.
Detroit Lions - LB Cameron McGrone, Michigan.
Carolina Panthers - QB Kyle Trask, Florida.
Washington Football Team (from San Francisco) - CB Elijah Molden, Washington.
Dallas Cowboys - LB Pete Werner, Ohio State.
New York Giants - OT James Hudson, Cincinnati.
XX. New England Patriots - Forfeited
Los Angeles Chargers - DT Tommy Togiai, Ohio State.
Minnesota Vikings - OG Ben Cleveland, Georgia.
Arizona Cardinals - C Josh Myers, Ohio State.
Las Vegas Raiders - S Ar'Darius Washington, TCU.
Miami Dolphins - CB Shaun Wade, Ohio State.
Washington Football Team - WR Tylan Wallace, Oklahoma State.
Chicago Bears - OT Walker Little, Stanford.
Indianapolis Colts - EDGE Hamilcar Rashed Jr., Oregon State.
Los Angeles Chargers - TE Hunter Long, Boston College.
New Orleans Saints - RB Jermar Jefferson, Oregon State.
Dallas Cowboys - S Andre Cisco, Syracuse.
Tennessee Titans - OT Brady Christensen, BYU.
Los Angeles Rams - CB Israel Mukuamu, South Carolina.
San Francisco 49ers - EDGE Victor Dimukeje, Duke.
Los Angeles Rams - OT Spencer Brown, Northern Iowa.
Baltimore Ravens - DT Tyler Shelvin, LSU.
New Orleans Saints - CB Kary Vincent Jr., LSU.
Trades: Indianapolis Colts receive: QB Sam Darnold New York Jets receive: Indianapolis 2021 2nd, 5th This trade value is based on internet rumors and a similar trade in 1987, where the San Francisco 49ers sent a 2nd and 4th round pick to Tampa Bay for 2nd year starter Steve Young. Steve Young was 3-16, with 11 TDs, 21 INTs, a 53.3 comp% and a 63.1 QB rating in two seasons with Tampa Bay but his upside netted a nice return. I think for several reasons, such as the fact that neither Douglas nor Saleh drafted Darnold and the potential to reset the cap window by drafting a 1st round QB, the Jets will trade Darnold. The Colts have a good offensive line and much better weapons than the Jets, so Indianapolis could be a good destination for Darnold after they missed out on Stafford. *** Denver receives: Houston 2021 1st (3) via Miami Miami receives: Denver 2021 1st (9), 2nd (40), 3rd (71), 2022 1st, 2nd, 2023 2nd *** Chicago receives: New York Giants 2021 1st (11) New York Giants receive: Chicago 1st (20), 2nd (52), 2022 1st *** San Francisco receives: Seattle 2021 1st (23) via New York Jets New York Jets receive: San Francisco 2021 2nd (43), 4th, 2022 2nd *** Kansas City receives: Pittsburgh 2021 2nd (55) Pittsburgh receives: Kansas City 2021 2nd (64), 3rd (95) *** QB Notes: New England signs Ryan Fitzpatrick Indianapolis trades for Sam Darnold from New York Jets New Orleans re-signs Jameis Winston Washington re-signs Kyle Allen
Here is the much awaited 3.0 Mock! Though some QB movement is inevitable, I didn't mock and player trades, just draft capital trades. My analysis for each team is at the bottom. Round 1 1.01) Jaguars - Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson 1.02) Jets - Zach Wilson, QB, BYU 1.03) Dolphins - Ja’Marr Chase, WR, LSU 1.04) Falcons - Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State 1.05) Bengals - Penei Sewell, OL, Oregon 1.06) Eagles - Patrick Surtain II, CB, Alabama 1.07) 49ers (Trade with Lions)- Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State Lions trade 1.07 for to 49ers for 1.12, 2.43, 2022 Second 1.08) Panthers - Rashawn Slater, OL, Northwestern 1.09) Broncos - Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech 1.10) Cowboys - Kwity Paye, DE, Michigan 1.11) Giants - Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama 1.12) Lions (Trade with 49ers) - DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama Lions trade 1.07 for to 49ers for 1.12, 2.43, 2022 Second 1.13) Chargers - Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida 1.14) Vikings - Alijah Vera-Tucker, OL, USC 1.15) Patriots - Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State 1.16) Cardinals - Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina 1.17) Raiders - Gregory Rousseau, EDGE, Miami 1.18) Dolphins - Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB, Notre Dame 1.19) Washington - Mac Jones, QB, Alabama 1.20) Bears - Christian Darrisaw, OL, Virginia Tech 1.21) Colts - Samuel Cosmi, OL, Texas 1.22) Titans - Jaelen Phillips, EDGE, Miami 1.23) Jets - Azeez Ojulari, EDGE, Georgia 1.24) Steelers - Liam Eichenburg, OL, Notre Dame 1.25) Jaguars - Christian Barmore, DT, Alabama 1.26) Browns - Zaven Collins, LB, Tulsa 1.27) Ravens - Creed Humphrey, OL, Oklahoma 1.28) Chargers (Trade with Saints) - Wyatt Davis, OL, Ohio State Chargers trade 2.47, 3.77, and 2022 fifth to Saints for 1.28 1.29) Packers - Eric Stokes, CB, Georgia 1.30) Bills - Jalen Mayfield, OL, Michigan 1.31) Chiefs - Teven Jenkins, OL, Oklahoma State 1.32) Buccaneers - Joesph Ossai, DE, Texas Round 2 2.33) Jaguars - Trevon Moehrig, S, TCU 2.34) Jets - Alex Leatherwood, OL, Alabama 2.35) Falcons - Najee Harris, RB, Alabama 2.36) Dolphins - Travis Etienne, RB, Clemson 2.37) Eagles - Rashod Bateman, WR, Minnesota 2.38) Bengals - Carlos Basham Jr., DE, Wake Forest 2.39) Panthers - Nick Bolton, LB, Missouri 2.40) Broncos - Daviyon Nixon, DT, Iowa 2.41) Lions - Jay Tufele, DT, USC 2.42) Giants - Jayson Oweh, EDGE, Penn State 2.43) Lions (Trade with 49ers) - Tyson Campbell, CB, Georgia Lions trade 1.07 for to 49ers for 1.12, 2.43, 2022 Second 2.44) Cowboys - Greg Newsome II, CB, Northwestern 2.45) Jaguars - Pat Freiermuth, TE, Penn State 2.46) Patriots - Rondale Moore, WR, Purdue 2.47) Saints - Levi Onwuzurike, DT, Washington Chargers trade 2.47, 3.77, and 2022 fifth to Saints for 1.28 2.48) Raiders - Jevon Holland, S, Oregon 2.49) Cardinals - Kadarius Toney, WR, Florida 2.50) Dolphins - Landon Dickerson, IOL, Alabama 2.51) Washington - Terrace Marshall Jr., WR, LSU 2.52) Bears - Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, USC 2.53) Titans - Elijah Moore, WR, Ole Miss 2.54) Colts - Kyle Trask, QB, Florida 2.55) Steelers - Patrick Jones II, EDGE, Pitt 2.56) Seahawks - Trey Smith, OL, Tennessee 2.57) Rams - Chazz Surratt, LB, UNC 2.58) Ravens - Joe Tryon, EDGE, Washington 2.59) Browns - Asante Samuel Jr, CB, Florida State 2.60) Saints - Richie Grant, S, UCF 2.61) Packers - Alim Mcneill, DT, NC State 2.62) Bills - Shaun Wade, CB, Ohio State 2.63) Chiefs - Quincy Roche, EDGE, Miami 2.64) Buccaneers - Dillion Radunz, OL, NDSU AFC Baltimore Ravens 1.27) Ravens - Creed Humphrey, OL, Oklahoma 2.58) Ravens - Joe Tryon, EDGE, Washington The Ravens have multiple needs this season, but none are as important as DE and Center. Center Matt Skura is still recovering from a significant knee injury where he tore his ACL, MCL and PCL in late November along with a disclosated kneecap and his future is unknown. While the franchise-tagged Matthew Judon registered 9.5 sacks and 33 quarterback hits — both team high, Jaylon Ferguson, a rookie, only finished with with 2.5 sacks and nine quarterback hits. Cincinnati Bengals 1.05) Bengals - Penei Sewell, OL, Oregon 2.38) Bengals - Carlos Basham Jr., DE, Wake Forest The most important thing in Cincinnati this season is one thing and one thing alone, collect as many assets to protect and assist Joe Burrow this offseason. To make matters worse, Carl Lawson, AJ Green, and John Ross are free agents and most likely to be somewhere else in 2021. Cincinnati posted the second least sacks in 2020 and desperately needs to add playmakers on the edge. Cleveland Browns 1.26 CLE - Zaven Collins (LB) - Tulsa 2.59) Browns - Asante Samuel Jr, CB, Florida State On defense, all three levels need to get better. But at the very least, Myles Garrett is locked in long-term as focal point of the defense and Denzel Ward seem likely to join him when he’s extended. I see the browns hammering the defensive side of the ball in the draft this year with a WR in the mix in the later rounds. Pittsburgh Steelers 1.24) Steelers - Liam Eichenburg, OL, Notre Dame 2.55) Steelers - Patrick Jones II, EDGE, Pitt With the retirement of Pouncey looming along with free agency of Villanueva, Steelers desperately need to find cheap options on the OL. Eichenburg provides and elite, cheap fill and can be a franchise player. The question mark for RB is also a big one. Do they resign Connor, find another option like Kenyan Drake, Jerrick Mckinnon, or Chris Carson or draft one. Buffalo Bills 1.30) Bills - Jalen Mayfield, OL, Michigan 2.62) Bills - Shaun Wade, CB, Ohio State The Bills are a complete team that doesn’t have many sports for an instant starter. However, they will need to get better in the trenches if they want to compete with the likes of Kansas City and Tampa Bay. Mayfield only played 1 season at Michigan, but the need on the right side of the line in evident. Look for the Bills to also look at DE, LB, CB, or even trade down to a team trying to grab a late first rounder. Miami Dolphins 1.03) Dolphins - Ja’Marr Chase, WR, LSU 1.18) Dolphins - Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB, Notre Dame 2.36) Dolphins - Travis Etienne, RB, Clemson 2.50) Dolphins - Landon Dickerson, IOL, Alabama In Tua year two, the Dolphins need to fill out their roster if they want to compete with the Bills. There are multiple needs Miami has, but filling out their OL and giving Tua elite options are the priority. New England Patriots 1.15) Patriots - Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State 2.46) Patriots - Rondale Moore, WR, Purdue Offense, Offense, Offense. Patriots need to hammer a rebuild on the offensive side of the draft if they even want to dream about the playoffs again. The Bills and Dolphins are a major threat in the AFC and Newton at QB wasn’t a longterm fix. Moore provides Belichick with an elite pass catcher who can line up all over the field. New York Jets 1.02) Jets - Zach Wilson, QB, BYU 1.23) Jets - Azeez Ojulari, EDGE, Georgia 2.34) Jets - Alex Leatherwood, OL, Alabama If the Jets want to compete next year, they need to address almost every position. Drafting basically BPA at every spot this year, they select a QB replacement, a long athletic edge, and some more depth in the OL. Houston Texans #fireeasterby Indianapolis Colts 1.21) Colts - Samuel Cosmi, OL, Texas 2.54) Colts - Kyle Trask, QB, Florida Indianapolis has an elite defense and if they can fix the holes on offense they will be a threat in the AFC for years to come. With the retirements of Phillip Rivers and Anthony Constanzo, LT and QB becoming immediate early draft picks or free agent acquisitions and I believe drafting Trask and Sam Cosmi will be good replacements. Jacksonville Jaguars 1.01) Jaguars - Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson 1.25) Jaguars - Christian Barmore, DT, Alabama 2.33) Jaguars - Trevon Moehrig, S, TCU 2.45) Jaguars - Pat Freiermuth, TE, Penn State The Jacksonville Jaguars are currently in the process of completing their regime change under new head coach Urban Meyer. Once that happens, it will be all about making improvements to the roster this offseason. With Lawrence as a lock, Urban Meyer has to surround his franchise QB with a roster that’ll be competitive. Tennessee Titans 1.22) Titans - Jaelen Phillips, EDGE, Miami 2.53) Titans - Elijah Moore, WR, Ole Miss By far, Tennessee’s biggest problem right now is a lack of consistent pass rush, which should have them targeting an edge defender early in this draft. Jaelen Philips fills the need and provides a high-upside EDGE to assist whatever they bring in in free agency. Denver Broncos 1.09) Broncos - Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech 2.40) Broncos - Daviyon Nixon, DT, Iowa With the 9th pick, the Broncos should be targeting one of the several talented cornerbacks in this 2021 NFL Draft class. The Broncos brought in former Pro Bowler A.J. Bouye via trade with the Jaguars and he has been on and off the field due to injuries this season. I think Farley is incredibly talented and he fills a need for Vic Fangio's defense. Defensive line can’t be ignored as a potential concern. They have five free agents-to-be up front, including Shelby Harris, Jurrell Casey and DeMarcus Walker. Not all of them will come back, we suspect. Even with Dre’Mont Jones, DeShawn Williams, McTelvin Agim and maybe Mike Purcell, some depth and insurance would be nice. Kansas City Chiefs 1.31) Chiefs - Teven Jenkins, OL, Oklahoma State 2.63) Chiefs - Quincy Roche, EDGE, Miami One thing the Chiefs will need in 2021 is help at the edge rusher position. Right now, Frank Clark and Mike Danna are the only two players currently under contract. They’ll need to find a few more in the draft and undrafted free agency if they don’t re-sign any of their pending free agents. Las Vegas Raiders 1.17) Raiders - Gregory Rousseau, EDGE, Miami 2.48) Raiders - Jevon Holland, S, Oregon When it comes to the draft, the Raiders still have plenty of holes to fill, particularly when it comes to the team’s defensive side. Jon Gruden and Mike Mayock have spent plenty of picks on the defense but have yet to draft a player who looks like he can be All-Pro, or even pro bowl material on defense. Los Angeles Chargers 1.13) Chargers - Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida 1.28) Chargers (Trade with Saints) - Wyatt Davis, OL, Ohio State Chargers trade 2.47, 3.77, and 2022 fifth to Saints for 1.28 Now, the Chargers going after Pitts is a decision that has to be made after they figure out what they’re going to do with Hunter Henry. Henry is currently playing on the franchise tag for an AAV of $10.6 million. Before both Travis Kelce and George Kittle signed their huge extensions, Henry was the highest paid tight end based on AAV. The Chargers are looking a having to chose between Henry and defensive end Melvin Ingram to bring back. A cheaper, possibly better option at tight end could be for the taking in the first round of the NFL Draft in Kyle Pitts. NFC Chicago Bears 1.20) Bears - Christian Darrisaw, OL, Virginia Tech 2.52) Bears - Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, USC Matt Nagy desperately needs to overhaul their offense if they want to compete with the Packers in the upcoming years. To start, I believe the biggest needs the Bears must address this offseason is the offensive line and Receiver. If the Bears want to find an adequate replacement for the expected departure of Allen Robinson, they’ll have to strongly consider using their first pick, however in this mock draft I have them assessing OT first. Detroit Lions 1.12) Lions (Trade with 49ers) - DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama Lions trade 1.07 for to 49ers for 1.12, 2.43, 2022 Second 2.41) Lions - Jay Tufele, DT, USC 2.43) Lions (Trade with 49ers) - Tyson Campbell, CB, Georgia With the departure of Stafford announced, Lions have a new QB coming to town. Over the next few weeks, the debate will be had regarding whether or not Detroit should trade down, especially since the team only possesses five total picks this year. Dan Campbell is in year 1, and as long as Rodgers is in GB, odds are they will not make the playoffs. Lions have many holes and the logical thing to do is to trade down and gather as much draft capital as possible. Look for WFT, NE, MIA, or IND as other potential trade partners. The trade I mocked was the exact same as the Buf-Tampa trade that resulted in Josh Allen in Buffalo. Yes, you don’t need to trade 3 firsts to move up in the first round. Green Bay Packers 1.29) Packers - Eric Stokes, CB, Georgia 2.61) Packers - Alim Mcneill, DT, NC State Like the other 3 teams that made the Championship Weekend, the Packers have minimal needs. Kevin King was exposed versus the Bucs and I wouldn’t be surprised if they draft a CB with the first round pick. If the Packers can add another monster upfront, it would help them in so many areas. For starters, it would make life easier on their inside linebackers and open up more gaps for the backer to fill in the running game. A player who can get after the quarterback by pushing the pocket would also alleviate some stress on the secondary and free up blockers for the Packers’ edge rushers. Minnesota Vikings 1.14) Vikings - Alijah Vera-Tucker, OL, USC With the 14th pick, the Vikings can go many routes, address the OL, draft an edge rusher, or fix the back end of the defense. With Spielman as GM, it is very unlikely that the Vikings will never draft an EDGE rusher in the first round. At 6-4, 315 pounds, he could play either position at the next level. The Vikings must solidify their offensive line around Kirk Cousins, even after spending second-round picks on Ezra Cleveland (2020) and Brian O'Neill (2018) in recent years, and Vera-Tucker could be the long-term answer on the left side of the line. Cousins plays best when his running game is humming, and Vera-Tucker is a great run-blocker. Dallas Cowboys 1.10) Cowboys - Kwity Paye, DE, Michigan 2.44) Cowboys - Greg Newsome II, CB, Northwestern Going into the 2021 draft, the Cowboys have multiple holes they need to address. To start they desperately need to address their secondary. With Slater, Sewell, Surtain, and Farley all gone, this is the worst possible scenario for the boys. Aldon Smith has played well for the Cowboys this season and may have set himself up for a nice payday over the offseason. With Dallas in a less than ideal cap situation, they may choose to let Smith walk and try to replace him in the draft. In this scenario, Paye would make a ton of sense for the team if they end up picking towards the end of the top 10. New York Giants 1.11) Giants - Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama 2.42) Giants - Jayson Oweh, EDGE, Penn State I think that the Giants are an ascending football team, but they need to be more explosive offensively. Waddle e might be the number one WR in the Class and has the size and speed to be the main target for Daniel Jones. One of the more bizarre stats to come out of the 2020 regular season was that the Giants’ top four pressure marks all came from interior defensive linemen. Leonard Williams (62 pressures), Dexter Lawrence (29), Dalvin Tomlinson (28) and B.J. Hill (22) all produced more quarterback pressures than New York’s top mark from an edge defender — Kyler Fackrell with just 19. By drafting an EDGE in the second round, they bring in a dire need. Philadelphia Eagles 1.06) Eagles - Patrick Surtain II, CB, Alabama 2.37) Eagles - Rashod Bateman, WR, Minnesota The Eagles have massive holes to fill and might have multiple key players from their SB team leaving this offseason. There’s no question that the Eagles need help at cornerback. They came into this season with Darius Slay as their top corner and even though he hasn’t been elite, he’s been the best CB1 they’ve had since Asante Samuel. The problem is that they lined up Avonte Maddox on the other side and Maddox just simply isn’t a good enough starting outside corner. The Eagles have struggled to draft cornerbacks — think back to Sidney Jones and Rasul Douglas in 2017 — so it’s scary to think about them getting this wrong. But Surtain has an NFL pedigree and at 6-1, isn’t the type of undersized corner we’ve seen the Eagles trot out there during the Jim Schwartz era. Surtain is a true first-round pick and one of the best corners in this draft. Washington Football Team 1.19) Washington - Mac Jones, QB, Alabama 2.51) Washington - Terrace Marshall Jr., WR, LSU It's no surprise that the Football Team needs a QB, but they most likely need to give up an unbelievable amount of draft capitol if they want a taste at the top 4 QBs in the draft. With the abundance of QB’s in the market this offseason, it won’t be a surprise if they make a run at Matt Stafford, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Jimmy G, or Matt Ryan if they become available. Washington could bring in one of the elite Receivers in Free Agency, but Marshall at 51 is hard to pass up. Atlanta Falcons 1.04) Falcons - Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State 2.35) Falcons - Najee Harris, RB, Alabama Atlanta comes into the 2021 Draft in a unique position. They have plenty of talent, but a team full of aging superstars and an abysmal defense brought them to the number 4 pick. Most likely the top 6 will be Lawrence, Sewell and a run on QBs and WRs bringing the Falcons in a unique position. If they decide to draft a QB, they are in perfect position to pick one but I believe they can do many things. With Matt Ryan on the backend of his career and Julio Jones turning 33, ATL will need to do turn the page soon to be relevant again. Carolina Panthers 1.08) Panthers - Rashawn Slater, OL, Northwestern 2.39) Panthers - Nick Bolton, LB, Missouri If Trey Lance falls to 8, Carolina would be happy to pick Lance with the eighth pick. Drafting a quarterback is almost a certainty at this point but if the Panthers take the "aggressive" approach that new general manager Scott Fitterer has talked about, they will likely trade up for either BYU's Zach Wilson or Ohio State's Justin Fields. Instead of a QB, they take Slater. Tackle in particular is a priority with the Panthers likely to move on from left tackle Russell Okung 32, and right tackle Taylor Moton likely to draw interest in free agency that could make him too costly. The Carolina Panthers are going to need a long-term solution to their middle linebacker spot sooner rather than later and Nick Bolton fills the void left by Luke Kuechly. Nick Bolton is a physical hitter who has the right sort of speed to become a sideline-to-sideline force at the next level. New Orleans Saints 2.47) Saints - Levi Onwuzurike, DT, Washington *Chargers trade 2.47, 3.77, and 2022 fifth to Saints for 1.28* 2.60) Saints - Richie Grant, S, UCF The Saints have many decisions this offseason regarding their elite defensive that puts them in a tough spot. It’s currently uncertain what the New Orleans secondary will look like next season as Janoris Jenkins, PJ Williams, Justin Hardee, and Ken Crawley are all set to be free agents, and adding a top tier talent like Onwuzurike and Grant could help the team for years. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 1.32) Buccaneers - Joesph Ossai, DE, Texas 2.64) Buccaneers - Dillion Radunz, OL, NDSU With it a possibility that Shaq Barrett opts to leave in free agency, the Buccaneers could find themselves looking for a quarterback hunter. Ossai could fit right in with what they like to do on defense and create havoc for that defense. Should he slide to No. 25, Ossai should be ripe for the picking by the Tampa Bay front office. LT Donovan Smith has been reliable in terms of his durability and availability, but his performance over the last five years has been inconsistent at best. He’s also scheduled to make more than $14 million next season, though none of that money is guaranteed. That means the Bucs could move on from him without any dead money, and considering how tight the team in terms of salary cap space, they could save a ton of money with a younger, cheaper option like Radunz. Arizona Cardinals 1.16) Cardinals - Jaycee Horn, CB, South Carolina 2.49) Cardinals - Kadarius Toney, WR, Florida With the gaping void left in the Arizona Cardinals secondary following the inevitable loss of franchise-cornerback Patrick Peterson, the 2021 NFL Draft offers an opportunity for Arizona to directly replace their isolation-corner with a prospect built in a similar mold. All-Pro safety Budda Baker looks to be one of the few returning members of the Arizona secondary and is in need of a complimenting talent on the opposite side of the hashes. Los Angeles Rams 2.57) Rams - Chazz Surratt, LB, UNC Going into the 2021 offseason, the Rams have quite a few question marks among the OL. Whitworth is old and the rest of the OL might be gone this offseason. They violently need to address the OL in the draft and this offseason. The Rams may have their most questions right now at the linebacker position and several key names could be gone by next year. Cory Littleton and Dante Fowler were lost this offseason, Samsom Ebukam will be a free agent next year, and Leonard Floyd was only signed to a one-year contract. Chazz Surratt is a must for the elite Rams D and provides Sean Mcvay with an athletic playmaker. San Francisco 49ers 1.07) 49ers (Trade with Lions)- Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State *Lions trade 1.07 for to 49ers for 1.12, 2.43, 2022 Second* San Francisco has an important offseason in front of them if they want to continue being atop the NFC West. Injuries battered the 49ers this year and it was a disappointing season all around. The 49ers are in salary cap hell next season and needs to do something if they want to resign Trent Williams, Richard Sherman, Soloman Thomas, and Jason Verrett among others. Seattle Seahawks 2.56) Seahawks - Trey Smith, OL, Tennessee Russell Wilson did not look comfortable at quarterback as his ecosystem became increasingly fragile this season. The success of the #LetRussCook movement, more or less, died as protection slowly got worse and worse. In the Wild Card game, Seattle's offensive line struggled mightily, allowing its worst pressure rate of the year - a 67 percent clip on all dropbacks, per Pro Football Focus.
How likely is every NFL stadium to host WrestleMania? An investigation
With the announcements of WrestleManias 37, 38, and 39, some users were critical of WWE selecting the same venues every year. Every WrestleMania since 23, with the exception of three in Orlando (two at the Citrus Bowl/Camping World Stadium and one at the Performance Center due to COVID-19), has been held at an NFL stadium. As something of an NFL stadium expert, I decided to examine each NFL stadium's likelihood of hosting a future WrestleMania. Please note that some stadiums are located just outside of the city limits listed, but I listed the major city most associated with it (so for instance, while AT&T Stadium is technically in Arlington, it hosts the Dallas Cowboys, so I listed Arlington.) I'm also giving WWE a significant benefit of the doubt and assuming they'd be interested in hosting a Mania outside of their usual go-tos. Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Stadium Profile: A $1.9 billion stadium opened in 2020 to house the newly-moved Las Vegas Raiders. Starting in 2021, it will host the Pro Bowl, Las Vegas Bowl, and the Pac-12 Championship Game. As of yet, it has not hosted any fans. It has a capacity of 65,000.
City Profile: Las Vegas is the 28th biggest metro area in the US. Las Vegas previously hosted WrestleMania IX in a temporary arena built at Caesars Palace, and the recently-built T-Mobile Arena hosted 2016 Money in the Bank and 2018 Elimination Chamber.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: Very high. I'm honestly surprised it didn't host one of the next three Manias given its attractive location and massive new stadium. I suspect it will host one very soon in the future.
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Stadium Profile: Arrowhead is the third-oldest stadium in the NFL, having been built in 1972. It had a renovation completed in 2010 and seats 76,416. It's known for its incredibly-loud fans, as they currently hold the world record for loudest crowd at 142.2 decibels.
City Profile: Kansas City is the 31st biggest metro area in the US. Kansas City has hosted four PPVs, most notably 1999 Over the Edge with the death of Owen Hart and most recently 2010 Money in the Bank.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: None. Arrowhead's age and Kansas City being a smaller market (and not an attractive vacation destination) mean that Missouri won't be hosting WrestleMania any time soon.
AT&T Stadium, Dallas, TX
Stadium Profile: "Jerryworld", a pioneer in the billion-dollar stadium craze, opened in 2009 with a listed capacity of 80,000, though it can hold up to 100,000 for special events like WrestleMania and the Super Bowl, which it hosted in 2011. It also hosts the annual Cotton Bowl game.
City Profile: Dallas is the 4th largest metro area in the US. Dallas hosted WrestleMania 32 at AT&T Stadium and most recently hosted 2017 Great Balls of Fire.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: Confirmed, as it will host WrestleMania 38 next year. I suspect this will not be the last.
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Stadium Profile: A largely no-frills stadium, Bank of America Stadium was built in 1996 and has a seating capacity of 75,523. In addition to hosting the Charlotte Panthers, it will host Charlotte FC starting in 2022 and has hosted an NCAA bowl game since 2002 and the ACC Championship Game most years since 2010. Though it was renovated in 2017 (and soccer renovations are currently underway), Panthers ownership has expressed a desire for a new stadium.
City Profile: Charlotte is the 22nd biggest metro area in the US. Nearby Charlotte Coliseum hosted 2019 Clash of Champions, its first PPV in 13 years, and nearby Greensboro has been considered one of wrestling's hotbeds.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: Low. If memory serves, Charlotte was floated as a potential Mania site, but unless they get a new stadium I don't see this nearly as likely as more attractive Southeast locations like Atlanta or Florida.
Bills Stadium, Buffalo, NY
Stadium Profile: The NFL's fourth-oldest stadium, the former Ralph Wilson Stadium houses 71,608. It was the site of the first NHL Winter Classic in 2008 as the Buffalo Sabres hosted the Pittsburgh Penguins.
City Profile: Buffalo is the 49th biggest metro area in the US. The last PPV Buffalo hosted was 2013 Battleground.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: None. With many bigger cities nearby and an aging stadium, Buffalo will never host a WrestleMania. Sorry, Bills Mafia.
Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Stadium Profile: Replacing the historic-but-aging Mile High Stadium in 2001, Empower Field seats 76,125. Notably, 84,000 were in attendance on the last night of the 2008 Democratic National Convention for Barack Obama's acceptance speech.
City Profile: Denver is the 19th biggest metro area in the US. The nearby Pepsi Center has only hosted one PPV - 2003 Vengeance.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: None. Denver's high altitude doesn't do it any favors, but WWE has been hesitant to run Denver in the past and I suspect with shinier stadiums out West, it will not do so here.
FedExField, Washington, DC (stadium located in Landover, MD)
Stadium Profile: Once the NFL's largest stadium, FedExField opened in 1997 and currently has a capacity of 82,000. Many upper-level seats were blockaded off in 2011. Even in 2007, Sports Illustrated rated it fourth-lowest in "NFL Fan Value Experience".
City Profile: Washington is the 6th biggest metro area in the US. Capital One Arena hosted 2005 SummerSlam, 2009 Survivor Series, and most recently 2016 Battleground, but also hosted the inaugural episode of AEW Dynamite.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: None. A DC 'Mania might sound attractive, but FedExField's unpopularity will keep it off WWE's list. Nationals Park could be an option if WWE chooses to downsize.
FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
Stadium Profile: Sitting on Lake Erie's shore, the "Factory of Sadness" opened in 1999 to host the second incarnation of the Cleveland Browns. It has a capacity of 67,431.
City Profile: Cleveland is the 34th biggest metro area in the US. It hosted Fastlane in both 2016 and 2019 and also hosted SummerSlam in 1996.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: None. I'm cold just thinking about late March in Cleveland.
Ford Field, Detroit, MI
Stadium Profile: Built in 2002 as a downtown replacement to the Pontiac Silverdome, Ford Field seats 65,000. It's hosted a bowl game every year since its opening and also hosted Super Bowl XL.
City Profile: Detroit is the 14th biggest metro area in the US. The Pontiac Silverdome was the site of perhaps the most famous WrestleMania (III), and Ford Field hosted WrestleMania 23 twenty years later. Detroit has also hosted several PPVs, most recently 2017 Hell in a Cell.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: Low. Though WWE has run WrestleMania in Detroit twice in the past, that it has not done so in nearly 20 years seems to indicate it's looking at newer stadiums and more attractive locations.
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA
Stadium Profile: Wedged between Boston and Providence, Gillette Stadium was built in 2002 as a replacement to the aging Foxboro Stadium. It seats 65,878 and hosts the New England Patriots as well as the MLS's New England Revolution.
City Profile: Boston is the 11th largest metro area in the US. The FleetCenter, now TD Garden, hosted WrestleMania XIV and has hosted several other Big 4 PPVs. It last hosted 2017 Clash of Champions.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: None. An indoor Boston stadium might be more attractive, but the cold weather serves as a major detriment, especially with NYC nearby.
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami, FL
Stadium Profile: Opened in 1987, the stadium with 11 different names seats 65,326. It's home to the Miami Dolphins, University of Miami football team, and the Orange Bowl game and formerly housed the Florida Marlins baseball team. Amid deterioration, it underwent a massive overhaul in 2015.
City Profile: Miami has hosted 6 Super Bowls, 5 College Football National Championships, and WrestleMania XXVIII with Miami native The Rock headlining. However, its last PPV was 2013 Hell in a Cell.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: Medium. The new stadium overhaul has made it an attractive location for other high-profile events, but WWE seems to have other Florida venues in mind. Perhaps they'll be back to Miami in the coming years.
Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA
Stadium Profile: Opened in 2001 along with next-door PNC Park as a replacement to Three Rivers Stadium, Heinz Field seats 68,400. Its open south end has made it one of the toughest places for kickers. It's also hosted two NHL games: the 2011 Winter Classic and 2017 Stadium Series.
City Profile: Pittsburgh is the 27th largest metro area in the US. It was home to perhaps the most famous match in WWE history, Undertaker vs. Mankind's Hell in a Cell match in 1998. It also hosted the 2014 Royal Rumble and most recently 2018 Extreme Rules.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: None. As much as I'd love to see a WrestleMania in my home city of Pittsburgh, it's not exactly the biggest destination city in the world, and WWE seems to have shunned Pittsburgh from high-profile events after several negative crowd responses.
Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Stadium Profile: The NFL's second-oldest stadium, Lambeau Field - named after Packer great Curly Lambeau - opened in 1957. Though single-bowled for most of its life, it added an upper deck at the south endzone in 2013. Most of its 81,441 seats are bleachers.
City Profile: Green Bay is the 158th biggest metro area in the US. It has never hosted a PPV, though Milwaukee has hosted several, most recently 2017 Fastlane.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: None. Maybe negative.
Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
Stadium Profile: Home to the San Francisco 49ers (though San Francisco is about an hour drive north), Levi's Stadium opened in 2014 and holds 68,500. Its large glass press box has led to criticism for making the stadium too bright and hot during the daytime. Levi's hosted Super Bowl 50, WrestleMania 31, and the 2015 NHL Stadium Series.
City Profile: San Francisco is the 12th biggest metro area in the US, and San Jose is the 35th biggest metro area in the US. San Francisco has never hosted a PPV (likely to change in the coming years with the opening of the Chase Center). San Jose hosted the 1998 Royal Rumble, 2001 SummerSlam, and most recently 2018 TLC.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: Very low. With the opening of SoFi Stadium ensuring multiple WrestleManias in California in the coming decades, accompanied with poor reception to the stadium and to The Undertaker having to make a daytime entrance, WWE probably won't be back to Levi's.
Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
Stadium Profile: Opened in 2003, "The Linc" sits in Philadelphia's famed Philadelphia Sports Complex in the same location as classic venues Veterans Stadium and The Spectrum. Lincoln Financial Field seats 69,796, and in addition to the Philadelphia Eagles and Temple Owls is the usual host of the Army-Navy Game.
City Profile: Philadelphia is the 8th biggest metro area in the US. Perhaps wrestling's most notorious crowd thanks in part to it being the home of ECW, Philadelphia has hosted a number of high-profile events over the years including WrestleMania XV, the 2015 and 2018 Royal Rumbles, and most recently 2019 Extreme Rules.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: Low to medium. Philadelphia has been floated as a WrestleMania city before, and though it's not the best climate in early spring, you'd have to imagine a WrestleMania crowd in a normally-raucous city would be a sight (and sound) to behold.
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Stadium Profile: Indy sure does love its indoor stadiums. After the Colts moved into the Hoosier Dome (later RCA Dome) in 1984, they opened the retractable-roof Lucas Oil in 2008 with a capacity of 67,000. It's also the host of the Big Ten Championship Game, Super Bowl XLVI, and given Indy's status as a college basketball hub, will host at minimum two Final Fours in the future (2021 and 2026).
City Profile: Indianapolis is the 33rd biggest metro area in the US. The Hoosier Dome hosted WrestleMania VIII in 1992 and has since hosted a SummerSlam, a Survivor Series, and most recently 2016 Clash of Champions. It's also known to wrestling fans as the city where The Shield was formed in 2012 and where they broke up in 2014.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: Low. While a beautiful stadium, Lucas Oil hasn't brought in as many events as Indianapolis surely hoped, in part due to its small market.
Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
Stadium Profile: Built in 2002 as a replacement to the literally-crumbling Kingdome, the former Qwest and CenturyLink Field holds a nice 69,000. Known for its triangular end zone stand and loud fans known as the "12th Man", it houses the Seattle Seahawks and Seattle Sounders.
City Profile: Seattle is the 15th largest metro area in the US. Next-door Safeco Field, home to the Mariners, hosted WrestleMania XIX in 2003, and KeyArena has only hosted two PPVs (most recently 2011 Over the Limit), though a major overhaul to the venue will likely change this once WWE resumes touring.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: Very low. Safeco Field was WWE's venue of choice in 2003, and while it could be an attractive Rumble target in the coming years, I suspect Lumen won't be on their list.
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
Stadium Profile: Home to the Baltimore Ravens, it opened in 1998 with a capacity of 71,008. Its most notable feature is its jumbotrons sandwiched between its upper and lower bowls. It's also hosted several Army-Navy games.
City Profile: Baltimore is the 21st largest metro area in the US. Baltimore has hosted several PPVs, most recently 2017 Extreme Rules.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: None. Though Royal Farms Arena is a common stop on WWE's touring schedule, M&T Bank is surely way low on the list of potential WrestleMania stadiums as it hasn't even been seriously considered in years past.
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Stadium Profile: Jokingly nicknamed "Megatron" due to its distinctly-shaped exterior and retractable roof, Mercedes-Benz Stadium opened in 2017 at a cost of $1.6 billion and seats 71,000. It hosts the Falcons, Atlanta United, the Peach Bowl, Super Bowl LII, and will surely host more Super Bowls and NCAA championships (both football and basketball).
City Profile: Atlanta is the 9th biggest metro area in the US and is also home to the world's busiest airport. Atlanta was the host of the 1996 Summer Olympics. The now-demolished Georgia Dome hosted WrestleMania XXVII, and Phillips Arena most recently hosted 2015 Survivor Series.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: Extremely high. The only thing I see as a detraction is WWE being petty about TNT getting back in the wrestling business. Otherwise, this massive, futuristic stadium would be a perfect WrestleMania host.
Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Stadium Profile: One of the most famous stadiums in sports, the Superdome (brother) opened in 1975, though it is currently undergoing a massive renovation. It seats 73,208 and has hosted seven Super Bowls (scheduled for #8 in 2025), two WrestleManias, five Final Fours, and is the annual home of the Sugar Bowl.
City Profile: New Orleans is the 45th biggest metro area in the US, though it's become a cultural hub. WrestleMania 34 was the last PPV hosted in the city.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: High. WWE has hosted here twice before, and a massive renovation will continue to make it an attractive target.
MetLife Stadium, New York, NY (located in East Rutherford, NJ)
Stadium Profile: Located across the river from the heart of New York City, MetLife Stadium opened in 2010 as home of both the Giants and Jets and seats 82,500. Its price tag of $1.6 billion made it at the time the most expensive stadium in the US. It's hosted two WrestleManias (29 and 35) and is the only open-air northern city to host the Super Bowl.
City Profile: What else is there to say about New York? It's the largest metro area by far, it's a massive cultural hub, and in wrestling context has hosted many of wrestling's most memorable events including six WrestleManias.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: Medium to high. NYC always has to be on the list when hosting large events, and given WWE has been to MetLife twice, you'd have to think they're willing to go again. The massive downside is the intense difficulty some fans had with leaving the stadium, although that's something that can be remedied with a little better planning.
Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
Stadium Profile: Opened in 1999 to house the newly-christened Tennessee Titans, Nissan Stadium seats 69,143 and is also host to the annual Music City Bowl. It will be the centerpiece of a Nashville street circuit coming to the IndyCar calendar in 2021.
City Profile: Nashville is the 36th largest metro area in the US. Nashville last hosted 2014 Night of Champions, although a house show under the name "Smackville" was aired on the WWE Network in 2019.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: Very low. I don't want to say zero, but this is as close to zero as it gets. Memphis is by far the more popular wrestling destination in the state, but it doesn't have a stadium capable of hosting a modern 'Mania.
NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
Stadium Profile: Built in 2002 to house the expansion Houston Texans, the Astrodome's spiritual successor houses 72,220. It's hosted two Super Bowls, two Final Fours, and is also on the schedule to host another Final Four and a College Football National Championship. NRG, then Reliant Stadium, hosted WrestleMania XXV.
City Profile: Houston is the 5th largest metro area in the US. In addition to XXV, the Astrodome - despite no longer having any tenants - hosted WrestleMania X-Seven, often regarded as the best WrestleMania (and possibly the best WWE PPV ever). Houston has hosted numerous PPVs, including the 2020 Royal Rumble at Minute Maid Park and several other Big 4s.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: Low. Though the Toyota Center is a common PPV host, Dallas seems to be the preferred destination in the state for WrestleMania. Still, NRG holds its weight, and perhaps it'll get another WrestleMania down the line.
Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
Stadium Profile: Like many cookie-cutters of the 70s, Riverfront Stadium was replaced by two stadiums; Paul Brown, opened in 2000, was the first, and it seats 65,515. An odd quirk in the contract with the city states that Cincinnati must pay for anything that 10 other NFL stadiums have, including holographic replays.
City Profile: Cincinnati is the 30th biggest metro area in the US. As it is not home to an NBA or NHL team, the outdated US Bank Arena hasn't hosted much for WWE, only 2006 Cyber Sunday and 2018 Starrcade (a rebranded house show).
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: None. As highly of Moxley speaks of it, Cincinnati isn't a wrestling hub by any stretch, nor is it a big enough market to justify a high-profile event.
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Stadium Profile: Opened in 1998, this stadium seats 65,890 and has been home to the Outback Bowl, two Super Bowls (it'll host its third later this month), and the 2017 College Football National Championship. Its most prominent feature is a giant pirate ship that fires its cannons when the home Buccaneers score.
City Profile: Tampa is the 18th largest metro area in the US. It hosted a few Big 4s decades ago, but prior to COVID last hosted 2014 Battleground. Sister city St. Petersburg will end up hosting several upcoming PPVs as it is the second home of the WWE Thunderdome.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: Confirmed, as it will host WrestleMania later this year as a make-good for the Mania scrapped last year due to COVID-19. I'll admit that I was surprised to see Tampa on the schedule, and I can't imagine it'll come back after this year.
SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Stadium Profile: LA residents, I feel bad that you're on the hook for the $5 billion price tag of this megaplex that houses the Rams and Chargers. Opened last fall, it seats 70,420 on game day but can be expanded to over 100,000. It will also be the epicenter of the 2028 Summer Olympics and will likely be a major part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. It also has next year's Super Bowl and 2023's College Football National Championship on its radar. Incidentally, it has yet to host fans.
City Profile: Los Angeles is the 2nd biggest metro area in the US. It's been home to numerous Big 4s including 3 WrestleManias (a fourth if you count nearby Anaheim) and was the regular host of SummerSlam for years.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: Confirmed, as it is the host of WrestleMania 39 (pushed back from 37, presumably to allow California ample time to recover from COVID-19). It was intentionally over-built for high-profile events like WrestleMania, and I'm confident they will be back for many more.
Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Stadium Profile: One of the classic sports venues, Soldier Field was built in 1924 but didn't host the Bears until 1971. A National Historic Landmark until 2002, it was delisted to allow the seating bowl to be gutted and rebuilt. Its signature Roman columns now reside at the stadium's gate.
City Profile: Chicago is the 3rd biggest metro area in the US. It's a popular site of Big 4s, but it's hosted just two WrestleManias, both in arenas (2 and 22). It most recently hosted 2019 Survivor Series. Most WWE shows are held not in the United Center but instead at the Allstate Arena in nearby Rosemont.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: Very low. I have to say I'm surprised Chicago's not hosted WrestleMania in so long given how raucous its crowds are and given Chicago's giant market. However, Soldier Field is not the most advanced stadium in the world, and WWE seems to like warmer buildings.
State Farm Stadium, Phoenix, AZ
Stadium Profile: At the time of its opening in 2006, State Farm was perhaps the highest-tech stadium ever built. It notably features not just a retractable roof but a retractable field, allowing its Bermuda grass to get some sunlight. It's also hosted a Super Bowl, 3 College Football National Championships, and a Final Four, with another Super Bowl and Final Four coming in the next few years.
City Profile: Phoenix is the 10th biggest metro area in the US. Phoenix's first PPV was 2003 SummerSlam and it's hosted many since, including WrestleMania XXVI and most recently the 2019 Royal Rumble at Chase Field.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: Low. You'd think if WWE were headed back to Glendale, it would've done so by now. Once the most high-tech stadium in America, its successes have since been duplicated by countless others.
TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
Stadium Profile: Do I really have to do this one? Jacksonville Municipal Stadium was built in the 1930s, but it was overhauled in 1995 to welcome the expansion Jacksonville Jaguars, who are owned by the Khan family - the same family that owns AEW. It's also hosted Super Bowl XXXIX.
City Profile: Jacksonville is the 40th biggest metro area in the US. Without a NBA or NHL team, it's hosted just one PPV: 2007 One Night Stand.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: None, as long as AEW is around.
US Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Stadium Profile: Built in 2016 as a replacement to the Metrodome and seating 66,655, US Bank's distinct exterior was built to resemble a viking ship. In its short life so far, it's already hosted a Super Bowl and a Final Four.
City Profile: Minneapolis is the 16th biggest metro area in the US. Minneapolis hosted 1999 SummerSlam andlast hosted 2019 TLC. Surprisingly, the Metrodome never hosted WrestleMania.
Likelihood of hosting WrestleMania: Medium to high. US Bank Stadium is a technological marvel, but Minneapolis is far from the most attractive location.
Welcome to the week 11 Official NFL Power Rankings! It was an eventful weekend, all that fans (of most teams) could reasonably ask for. Whose top 15 are upside down? Is any team more PFF than substance? Happy 2 million, Discuss! 31/32 reporting
#
Team
Δ
Record
Comment
1.
Steelers
+1
10-0
Going into Thanksgiving after a solid win against the hopeless Jaguars, if the Steelers win vs the Ravens, they're in. That's right, if they beat Baltimore, the Steelers clinch a playoff spot by Week 11. Meanwhile, the Ravens know their back is against the wall after losing a tough one against the Titans and being outside of the cutoff line for the postseason. A loss against the Steelers takes their playoff odds down to 50-50, while a hot Browns team beating the same reeling Jaguars team brings their playoff chances to 75%. Expect the Ravens take their frustrations out on the Steelers in what will be both teams biggest test this season. The Ravens are desperate now and that makes them even more dangerous. Even more dangerous if they have the beerbug. If the game is postponed, disregard all of this.
2.
Chiefs
-1
9-1
The Chiefs have some soul searching to do on defense after another abysmal performance against the Raiders. Unlike the first matchup against the Raiders, the Chiefs offense was able to bail out poor performances from the defense and special teams this time thanks to the usual suspects on offense. Travis Kelce continued his otherworldly year. Tyreek Hill was as great as always. Patrick Mahomes made a game-winning drive with only 1:43 look way too easy. Even if the Chiefs defense has off days the Chiefs are always going to be competitive due to those 3 guys. They might have to lean on them, even more, when the Chiefs go to Tampa Bay next week.
3.
Saints
+1
8-2
4.
Rams
+6
7-3
Jordan Fuller is the superior 199th pick.
5.
Packers
-2
7-3
"MVS giveth, MVS taketh away"
6.
Colts
+7
7-3
The Colts drive to close the game after stopping the Packers on a late 4th and 1 was the most poorly executed drive this ranker has ever seen. It's a testament to this team's heart and talent that they still pulled out a W after that debacle. Sunday's game was one of the biggest in recent Indy football and the Colts look to surge into the back stretch of the season.
7.
Seahawks
+5
7-3
The Seahawks defense won the game on a Carlos Dunlap sack on a three man rush against Kyler Murray. This team is provocative.... gets the people goin. And the fans are here for it (RIP blood pressure). A long break between Thursday night and the game Monday night should mean the returns of Chris Carson, Shaquil Griffin, and Ethan Pocic. After a bit of a slump, the Seahawks next 4 opponents consist of the NFC East (minus the Cowboys) and the Jets. It's all comin' together, baby.
8.
Bills
--
7-3
The Dolphins, Patriots, and Jets all lost this week, which is about as good of a bye week as the Bills can ask for. This has been a very weird season with a lot of flukey wins and losses. Despite losing to them (and getting their teeth kicked in by one), it’s hard to say the Bills are objectively worse than Arizona or Tennessee. A Hail Mary ended one, and there was a whole string of strange, confusing events leading up to the other that made it a tough game to prepare for. This isn’t to say Buffalo didn’t deserve these losses, but in such an up-and-down year around the whole league, 7-3 feels pretty damn good. Now, it’s time to make the final push for the division.
9.
Buccaneers
-4
7-4
He was excessively loyal to his coordinators. No matter their follies, no matter the incompetence on full display, and no matter the need for change, he insisted they continue in their duties. He refused to step in to call plays until it was too late, and by that point, the writing was already on the wall for his job. This of course references former Buccaneers Head Coach Dirk Koetter. The parallels are there in the present, and after last night's Rams game (which included a rollout from Tom Cement Shoes Brady), OC Byron Leftwich has little confidence from Bucs fans. They better wake up, because Patrick Mahomes is next.
10.
Titans
+4
7-3
The Titans were able to once again slow the Ravens offense enough to keep pace through the first three quarters and set up an eleven-point fourth quarter to take the game to overtime. In overtime, Derrick Henry became the first player in NFL history to score a second walk off touchdown in the same season.
11.
Ravens
-5
6-4
This ranker would opt to write a blurb, but Greg Roman forced him to write a message to Hollywood instead. Can the Steelers be beaten without a DL? What about with two running backs on the COVID list? Asking for a friend.
12.
Cardinals
-5
6-4
Leading the league in penalties (now 9 more than the next most penalized team) was bound to factor into a loss at some point. The offensive line also had their worst game of the season as Seattle's pass defense looked elite. Hopefully the teak used the extended time to work on some things and Murray's shoulder had enough time to heal. Sunday's game against the up and down Patriots will be absolutely critical.
13.
Raiders
--
6-4
Bad officiating, bad defense, and scoring 30+ points and losing. Sunday night was exactly what you expect when you watch a Raiders game. The bright side for Raiders fans, they dominated KC on the road and barely scraped out a win after coming off a bye in Vegas. The Raiders can beat any team in the league, unfortunately their defense makes it so any team can beat them as well.
14.
Browns
+1
7-3
The Browns are just two wins away from the first winning season since 2007 and third winning season in TWENTY YEARS. The Browns will face the struggling Jaguars next week.
15.
Dolphins
-6
6-4
After a few weeks of glorious hope, Dolphins fans are welcomed back to the standard mood. Though the team's future still looks bright, this game was a hard reminder that the team is not yet all the way complete, and still has some glaring holes. Now the Dolphins travel to the winless Jets to see if they pull off the easy win, or if the long history of odd games in this rivalry continues.
16.
Bears
+2
5-5
The bye week featured the most watchable performance from the Bears' offense all season.
17.
Panthers
+3
4-7
The first shutout in five years was exactly what P.J. "Matty Ice" Walker and his two end zone interceptions needed. Even if this game was somehow closer than the end result, the defense really stepped up. A perfect 52 yard bomb to DJ Moore deserves specific recognition, as well as Brian Burns' overall game film.
18.
49ers
+1
4-6
Bye Week- Hopefully it allows enough time to get players off the Covid list.
19.
Vikings
-3
4-6
Dalvin Cook leads the league in rushing touchdowns, Adam Thielen leads the league in receiving touchdowns, Justin Jefferson is on pace to break Randy Moss's rookie receiving record, Kirk Cousins ranks 6th in PFF grade... and yet none of it matters because half of the Vikings' defense is on IR.
20.
Patriots
-3
4-6
Pass protection and defensive secondary struggled. Run game disappeared in the second half. lost Rex. Not Good!
21.
Broncos
+4
4-6
Tua learned a very important lesson on Sunday. No matter how good your team is, no matter how hapless the Broncos appear to be, the power of Mile High bullshit will break you. Despite having an awful start after game after game of awful offensive play, the Broncos strung together just enough yardage to complement an amazing defensive performance to squeak out a win. Ultimately meaningless except for one point — Vic Fangio has now won as many games as Vance Joseph.
22.
Chargers
+1
3-7
This game had all of the hallmarks of Chargers football: inconsistent and mistake-prone offense, a defense that only lasts 30 minutes, and incompetent special teams play. However, the Chargers hung on to win the game, probably because the other team was the Jets. Keenan Allen had a career day, as his 16 receptions in a game is a franchise record. The Herbert-Allen connection continues to grow stronger and will hopefully be a focal point of the offense for years to come. The Chargers will don the navy unis again in a cross-country tilt against the Bills next week.
23.
Falcons
-1
3-7
Thank you @Saints for the opportunity to realize a top ten draft/pick. And thank you to the fans and the city of Atlanta for putting up with the Falcons...
24.
Texans
+4
3-7
Every win against the Pats feels like a gift, even when they're as garbage as they are this year. Seeing Bill Belichick scowl at his team's loss never fails to brighten the spirits of all other football fans.
25.
Lions
-4
4-6
The offense was actually terrible. This Lions team is a shell of the offensive strength it had last year. After being shut out by an XFL QB, Patricia's seat must be scorching. Technically still in the playoff hunt, but unless the Lions blowout the Texans on thanksgiving.... don't count on it.
26.
Giants
+1
3-7
If you're going to have a Covid outbreak you might as well do it on your bye week. Here's hoping everyone makes a quick recovery and limits the spread to family members. The NFC East now has an entire division of 3-win teams, which means this dumpster fire of a division is more up for grabs than it's been all year. Big Blue heads to Cincinnati to take on the Burrow-less Bengals next.
27.
Washington FT
+2
3-7
And here we are. Come Thanksgiving, The Washington Football Team and Dallas Cowboys will battle it out for 1st place in the NFC LEAST. The winner standing tall at checks notes 4-7... This division is a toss up and we're really looking at a 5-11 or 6-10 team hosting a wildcard playoff game.
28.
Eagles
-2
3-6-1
Real talk. Carson Wentz is among the worst, if not the absolute worst, starting quarterback currently in the NFL. Doug Pederson's magic from the 2017 season is dead and buried in a 50 foot deep hole in the Vet graveyard. Jason Peters is the worst overall player in the entire league. It is time for Doug to give up playcalling to someone with an iota of common sense. It is time to bench Wentz in favor of Jalen Hurts, if only to keep Wentz healthy for next season. It is time for Eagles' fans to accept the fact that being 1st in a division while 3-6-1 is not a "positive takeaway."
29.
Cowboys
+1
3-7
Winners? For the first time in a while, Cowboys fans feel hope.
30.
Bengals
-6
2-7-1
The Bengals were never going to make the playoffs in 2020, they only had one goal for a successful season, keep Joe Burrow healthy. The front office and coaching staff failed to do that. Because Mike Brown won't step down or move aside, the changes need to start with Director of Player Personnel Duke Tobin, Head Coach Zac Taylor, Offensive Coordinator Brian Callahan, and offensive line coach Jim Turner. All four have contributed towards the catastrophic failure that is the Bengals in 2020 and need to be let go. For the remainder of the season the only goal is to land a top three pick and draft Penei Sewell.
31.
Jaguars
--
1-9
It was not a trap game. It was, however, Shad Khan's 100th loss since buying the Jaguars. That doesn't count for much, but... no. No it's all just terrible. Send help.
32.
Jets
--
0-10
The Jets have become the first team to be eliminated from playoff contention, considerably hurting their chances at making the playoffs.
Bored Bears fan here, what do you do when your starting QB from last year was the first NVP (Nickelodeon MVP for those fortunate fans who do not know what that is), speculate on QBs for everyone next year. I'll note backups if I think it necessary and trades, sorry for spelling errors or not knowing your teams as well. Just for fun throwing something out there. These of course are just my opinion, I would love to hear where I am wrong as I am sure there are plenty of areas.
AFC East
Bufallo Bills - Josh Allen (Backup Mitch Trubisky)
Note - Think Mitch goes to Buffalo on a low end 1 year deal to learn in that system.
Miami Dolphins - Tua Tagovailoa
Note - I think Miami is favorite if Watson gets traded, I just think Miami's GM/HC has done exceedingly well at acquiring assets, and wouldn't give up on Tua after a few games. In this situation I have them trading back from 3 to 7 and acquiring Detroit's 1st and 3 2nds. Then trading back with SF acquiring SF's 1st this year and next.
New England Patriots - Jimmy G & Mac Jones
Note - I think 49ers cut Jimmy who goes back to NE and NE drafts Mac Jones in the 1st. Possibly trading up, but in this scenario Mac falls to them.
New York Jets - Sam Darnold
Note - I don't think Watson would approve a trade to the Jets due to not wanting to go through rebuild. I think Jets made some amazing coaching hires and trade back for 2 future 1's + other picks and try to see what they have in him while letting the new staff build up a team with the assets they've acquired.
AFC North
Baltimore Ravens - Lamar Jackson
Note - Really an easy call. I think Bears franchise ARob and trade him to Ravens for a 2 & 3 or two 3s leaving Ravens with their 1st and two more 3rds to build around. Think they saw how Allen took a step when Diggs was brought in and ARob + Brown + Dobbins + Andrews is a recipe to success for Lamar. Add in an IOL in an early round.
Cincinnati Bengals - Joe Burrow
Note - Again easy call, think they take an OT early and continue to build around him.
Cleveland Browns - Baker Mayfield
Note - Easy Call, though I was worried about Baker earlier this season, but will likely be extended.
Pittsburgh Steelers - Ben Roethlisberger & Jameis Winston
Note - I know a lot are hoping Big Ben may retire, but I don't think he will given he has 40 million coming to him if he stays. Not sure on backup, could take a swing with Jameis.
AFC South
Houston Texans - Deshaun Watson
Note - I'd put odds 60-40 if he stays. I think they hire Bienemy and do just enough to keep him.
Indianapolis Colts - Matt Stafford
Note - I like Stafford more then Wentz to be traded as I'm not sure why Colts would take the risk of Wentz's contract. Stafford is 32 and manageable cap for Indy. I would say Indy trades 2 1sts & a 3rd to Lions as they start to rebuild.
Jacksonville Jaguars - Ryan Fitzpatrick & Trevor Lawrence
Note - In this scenario, Lawrence is drafted 1st, Gardner is traded for a 3rd to WFT, and Fitzpatrick signed to be a bridge QB (again).
Tennessee Titans - Ryan Tannehill
Note - Could see them drafting someone in the mid rounds to develop behind him, but is locked in as starter.
AFC West
Denver Broncos -Drew Lock
Note - Similar with other teams, think new Front Office will work on evaluating QB for a year and building around him. If Lock takes a step back they make a move in 2022.
Kansas City Chiefs - Patrick Mahomes
Note - Nothing changing here for a decade+. Could see them take a QB in the 5th or 6th to develop with that staff and behind Mahomes.
Las Vegas Raiders - Marcus Mariota & Zach Wilson
Note - Think Carr is traded to Chicago for 2 2nds, Las Vegas trades with Jets to move up to #2 giving them their first this year and 2 or 3 second rounders. Mariota is kept to be a bridge QB and franchise in new location gets new franchise QB. I just think there was to much smoke without being a little fire from last year of Carr being traded and Chicago who ended up trading for Foles last year definitely called around gauging values. I don't think Carr is the issue in Las Vegas, just think Mayock/Gruden want their own guy.
Los Angeles Chargers - Justin Herbert
Note - Behind Mahomes, and with Burrow one of the simplest ones. Need to build around him, looked amazing last year.
NFC East
Dallas Cowboys - Dak Prescott
Note - I mean they have to sign him to an extension right? Edit: initially had a note in here or trading Amari to save cap, but misread his contract. Interested to see how Daks contract can fit on Dallas next year.
New York Giants - Daniel Jones
Note - Again, don't think they have given up on him and team will hope he takes next step as they build around him.
Philadelphia Eagles - Carson Wentz & Jalen Hurts
Note - Think they bring in McDaniels or Daboll (Daboll preference) to sort the QBs out. Don't think they can trade Wentz so best to bring in an offensive mind to get it sorted this year.
Washington Football Team - Gardner Minshew, Taylor Heinicke, & Alex Smith
Note - This was the hardest as I didn't know what to do with WFT, I think Taylor deserves a shot and Minshew could challenge him for a spot while Smith plays more of a mentoemergency role. Don't think WFT would cut Smith and take the 11 mil cap hit, though it's possible as they would save 13 mil. If none work out could see a big trade up next season for a QB.
NFC South
Atlanta Falcons - Matt Ryan (Note - Just not sure what they can do here given the contracts, new HC/GM needs to figure out QB plan moving forward. Don't think Ryan is the issue though)
Carolina Panthers - Teddy Bridgewater & Kyle Trask (Note - Could see Carolina making a bigger move, but see them grabbing Trask in the second to develop behind Bridgewater for a year.)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Tom Brady (Note - think Brady plays for 2 more years, could see them bringing in a backup to groom under Brady)
New Orleans Saints - Taysom Hill & Cam Newton (Note - New Orleans is in a tough spot next year, in this situation Cam would be back up as the Cap finally catches up with New Orleans and they start a rebuild process taking a QB early in 2022)
LA Rams - Jared Goff (Note - I just don't think they have a better option, not sure anyone would trade for him and dead cap hit would be 31 million next year)
San Francisco 49ers - CJ Beathard and Trey Lance (Note sign Beathard on a lower 2 year deal, think they would trade up to #7 with Miami and trade a 1st this year
Seattle Seahawks - Russell Wilson (Note - Nothing shocking here)
NFC North
Chicago Bears - Derek Carr with Nick Foles as bakcup (Note - as said above Chicago trades 2 second rounders to Las Vegas for Carr, Las Vegas uses those picks and their first this year and next to move up for Wilson/Fields)
Detroit Lions - Justin Fields and Chase Daniel (Note - After getting Indy's 1st rounder for this year and next package up your #1 + 3 2's to Miami at #3 to grab Fields/Wilson)
Green Bay Packers - Aaron Rodgers and Jordan Love (Note - Again nothing shocking)
Minnesota Viking - Kirk Cousins (Note - 2 years of Cousins deal left edit initially had 1*, wouldn't be surprised if they tried grabbing a QB to groom under him)
How the Draft would end up if above is to confusing for top 7 picks.
Jaguars - Lawrence
Raiders - Trade 2 1's (17th overall and 22 1st), 3 2's to Jets to take Wilson
Lions - Trade 1st (7th overall) + 3 2's to Miami, take Fields
Falcons - I have no idea, assume they would like to trade back
Bengals - Sewell
Eagles - Ja'Marr Chase
49ers - Trade 1st this year and 1st next year to move up 5 spots with Miami, take Lance
Hey guys! First ever post in this sub but I’ve been lurking for quite some time. I was recently laid off from my job due to COVID cutbacks so I’ve been working on completing a full two round mock for a while now to get my mind off of things. Looking for as much feedback as I can get here. Let me know which guys are too high or too low. Are there any other needs you see your team prioritizing over the ones I’ve mocked? All feedback is appreciated! ROUND ONE: 1. Jacksonville Jaguars - Trevor Lawrence (QB) - Clemson No explanation needed here. Sunshine Man good. 2. New York Jets - Justin Fields (QB) - Ohio State Now is when the draft gets interesting. Reasonable arguments can be made here for Fields, Wilson, Sewell, and possibly even a trade down. I’m going with Justin Fields at this spot. I think Saleh is going to want a fresh start and his own guy to coach up. They’ll be tempted with offers here but even if they did trade down; the odds of their future draft ammunition getting them a chance to draft a QB prospect equally as great as Fields don’t seem very high to me. 3. Miami Dolphins via Houston Texans - Devonta Smith (WR) - Alabama MIA trades 1.03, 1.18, 2022 1st, and Tua Tagovailoa to HOU for Deshaun Watson and 2022 5th Where there’s smoke there’s fire. In my opinion this Texans/Watson fiasco is beyond repair. Likewise, I don’t think Miami would hesitate at the chance to grab Watson. They were already on the cusp of making the playoffs this past season so adding Watson is just the push they would need. The Texans have a lot of options with this pick but I’ve got them taking the reigning heisman winner here. Setting up your new franchise QB with his old college teammate and giving him a true WR1 to work with seems like the best way to get off on the right foot with your new QB investment. 4. Carolina Panthers via Atlanta Falcons - Zach Wilson (QB) - BYU ATL trades 1.04, 2021 5th to CAR for 1.08, 2021 3rd, and 2022 1st I know this will look gross to Falcons and Panthers fans because it’s an inner division trade. Although they are uncommon the reality is that they do happen and I think the Panthers are more than willing with 1) the Broncos on their heels posing as a threat to move up for a franchise QB, 2) experiencing a full season of Teddy Bridgewater, and finally 3) they won’t have to give up the farm for only moving up 4 spots. Why for the Falcons? Arthur Smith has no intentions on entering into a rebuild. Matt Ryan can still get it done and there’s too many other needs that trump QB right now so they decide to take advantage of their sweet draft positioning to build assets for the future at the cost of only a slight move down so that they can still get their guy(s). 5. Cincinnati Bengals - Penei Sewell (OT) - Oregon Sewell falling into the Bengals laps is a dream come true for their fans. They may be tempted with reuniting Chase and Burrow but after watching Burrow go down there is simply no greater need than protecting their franchise QB. Sewell is the best Tackle prospect on the board so he gets the nod here. 6. Philadelphia Eagles - Ja’Marr Chase (WR) - LSU I waffled over this one quite a bit. I think the Eagles two biggest needs are CB and WR. Having their top choice of the elite CB’s here is really tough to pass on. However it sounds like they are doubling down on keeping Wentz so what better way to help out your franchise QB than getting him arguably the best WR in this class. 7. Detroit Lions - Micah Parsons (ILB) Penn State I think DL/Edge might be a bigger need here for the Lions but their LB group is so talent deprived and Parsons is the best LB and best defensive prospect in the class imo. Parsons should have an immediate impact for the Lions and with back to back 1st round picks the past few years on CB and LB here, the Lions are now well on their way to reshaping their defense. 8. Atlanta Falcons via Panthers - Gregory Rousseau (EDGE) - Miami The Falcons pass rush stinks. To my knowledge they don’t have any EDGE guys signed next season that could be full time starters. CB and RB are also big needs but after whiffing badly on Vic Beasley and Takk McKinley I think Edge has to be priority #1 and they get their pick of whoever the highest EDGE prospect is on their board here. 9. Denver Broncos - Caleb Farley (CB) - Virginia Tech I have QB and CB as the Broncos two biggest needs. I agonized over this one quite a bit with Lance still on the board. I just see Paton giving Lock one more year to prove himself. If it all goes to hell and Lock still stinks then Paton will probably just start over with his own Coach and QB of his choosing for next year. Farley may come with more injury question marks but I think he has a bit more upside and athleticism than the other CB’s. 10. Dallas Cowboys - Patrick Surtain II (CB) - Alabama The entire defense needs a whole lot of work. CB, DT, EDGE, S, all of it. Any type of offensive pick at this spot would be a real head scratcher. I’ve got them taking the next best available defensive player here. Diggs and Surtain II would be a solid foundation to build off of for their young secondary. 11. New York Giants - Kwity Paye (EDGE) - Michigan I have EDGE, WR, and CB as the Giants three biggest needs. I think they would have preferred Chase or Smith at this spot but with both off the board I’ve got them addressing EDGE round one and looking to address WR round 2 or through free agency. Rousseau might be an easier transition for the Giants scheme but I think Graham will be able to work with Paye just fine. 12. San Francisco 49ers - Jaycee Horn (CB) - South Carolina I’m pretty sure that the top 5 or 6 CB’s for the 49ers are all entering some form of free agency. Sherman most likely isn’t coming back. I don’t see any bigger need for them than CB. I’m not sure if Surtain or Farley would fit better scheme wise but Horn is sorta the “best of the rest” among the top tier of CB’s. Lance would make a lot of sense here too but I think they will look to build upon their defense and give Jimmy G another shot at getting them back to the super bowl. 13. Los Angeles Chargers - Rashawn Slater (OT) - Northwestern Kind of a no brainer here if Slater is still on the board. Chargers O-line group ranked as one of the worst among the league. I’ve got CB as another big need for the Chargers but with the top 3 CB prospects all off the board protecting Herbert needs to be top priority. 14. Washington Football Team via Minnesota Vikings - Trey Lance (QB) - North Dakota State MIN trades 1.14 and 2021 5th to WAS for 1.19, 2021 2nd, 2022 2nd, 2022 4th With the threat of Lance potentially falling to the Patriots; Washington moves up to go get their QB. WFT fans might not be happy with taking on another project QB but I think Lance would actually be an attractive QB prospect for Ron. He has similar qualities to Cam when he was coming out and he can learn from a proven veteran like Alex Smith (Hey it worked for Mahomes right?) Why for Vikings? Spielman has shown he’s more than willing to move around in the draft. With no 2nd round pick lined up I think he’s going to be looking to trade down and pick one up. 15. New England Patriots - Jaylen Waddle (WR) - Alabama The Patriots passing game was terrible this year and their entire WR group consists of below average guys. Waddle is a YAC monster and would significantly upgrade their WR group. I know this goes against Bill’s routine of trading back but when Waddle slides in the draft to #15 I think you have to take that kind of talent and run. 16. Arizona Cardinals - Eric Stokes (CB) - Georgia This may seem like a reach but I think Stokes is going to see his draft stock rise quite a bit from where he’s being mocked once the draft rolls around. I don’t think he’s that far below the tier of Farley/Horn/Surtain II. I’ve got CB as their biggest need and Stokes fits like a glove here. Cardinals love to play man and Stokes is one of the best man CB’s in the draft. 17. Las Vegas Raiders - Christian Barmore (DT) - Alabama The Raiders have holes all over their defense that need to be fixed. With all of the top CB’s off the board, I think they need to go with addressing the interior D-Line here. Barmore is the top interior defender in this class and had a great playoff showing. He would go a long way in helping clean up this defense. 18. Houston Texans via Miami Dolphins - Azeez Ojulari (EDGE) - Georgia The Texans have needs all over their defense. I think they will look to go with an EDGE here and Ojulari is the next best available off my board. 19. Minnesota Vikings - Christian Darrisaw (OT) - Virginia Tech The Vikings could go IOL depending on what the plan is with Cleveland but I see them taking the next best available Tackle here and working on improving their O-Line. 20. Jacksonville Jaguars via Chicago Bears - Kyle Pitts (TE) - Florida CHI trades 1.20 and 2021 5th to JAC for 1.25, 2021 2nd, 2022 3rd With Pitts sliding in the draft and the black hole the Jaguars have at TE I don’t think they would hesitate to grab an elite TE prospect for their new franchise QB. Pitts would give Lawrence an immediate red zone weapon and give the Jags a huge boost in skill position players to jumpstart their new offense under Meyer. Why for the Bears? There is a lot of depth on the amount of OT/OG/C prospects in this draft. Picking up the first pick in the 2nd round here will be huge for them to address that need as well as the future draft capital. 21. Indianapolis Colts - Alex Leatherwood (OT) - Alabama I have QB and LT as the colts biggest needs. I think they will want to see what they have with Eason this year and/or kick the tires on a veteran QB. Leatherwood is a tackle prospect whose draft stock I expect to climb between now and the draft. Leatherwood started every game at LT allowing only two sacks and three pressures on the year. 22. Tennessee Titans - Joseph Ossai (EDGE) - Texas Titans have needs all over the defense but their primary concern has to be getting a pass rusher imo. Ossai is the next best available on my board at this spot and someone that I think would be a nice fit for Vrabel’s defensive front. 23. New York Jets via Seattle Seahawks - Rashod Bateman (WR) - Minnesota The Jets WR group is in major need of a talent upgrade. I think they’ll want to set up Fields with a great set of weapons from the jump. Bateman and signing an additional WR in free agency will help the rookie QB. 24. Pittsburgh Steelers - Liam Eichenberg (OT) - Notre Dame I don’t think there is any greater need than improving the O-Line for the Steelers. Their run game was bad and they’ve got too many question marks with it going into the offseason to not address it here. 25. Chicago Bears via Jacksonville Jaguars - Wyatt Davis (IOL) - Ohio State Mac Jones will be tempting here but there is no greater need than improving the O-Line for the Bears during this draft imo. Davis is my top IOL prospect and should be an instant contributor between the tackles for them. 26. Cleveland Browns - Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah (OLB) - Notre Dame I think we could see the Browns go all defense the first three rounds. They have needs everywhere on the defensive side but their LB group is among the worst in the league. I think Owusu-Koramoah would be a great get here. 27. Baltimore Ravens - Zaven Collins (OLB) - Tulsa I’ve got WR, OLB, IOL, and TE all as pretty big needs for the Ravens this draft. With the uncertainty of Judon, Ngakou, and Bowser returning I think OLB will be the first need they address and Collins is the next best available on my board. 28. New Orleans Saints - Mac Jones (QB) - Alabama The Saints probably have bigger needs on the defensive side of the ball but I think it’s worth taking a look at Mac Jones at this spot. If he ends up playing well then having that 5th year option on such a cheap QB salary long term will do wonders for them as they look to rebuild. 29. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Samuel Cosmi (OT) - Texas I think the Bucs are going to be planing on taking Donovan’s replacement at Tackle with this pick. They’ve got other needs on the defensive side of the ball but with their limited title window, protecting Tom Brady has to be up near the top list of their priorities. 30. Buffalo Bills - Daviyon Nixon (DT) - Iowa I think Buffalo should be addressing their D-Line with this pick. I’ve also got CB as a pretty big need for them but with how they were gashed in the run game all season by opposing RB’s I think that’s where they will look at this spot. 31. Green Bay Packers - Nick Bolton (ILB) - Missouri The Packers are a tough one to pin down. I’ve got ILB as a pretty big need for them along with WR, CB, and DT. I think Bolton would be a great option here but admittedly it doesn’t seem like the kind of choice Gute would make. 32. Kansas City Chiefs - Creed Humphrey (OG/C) - Oklahoma There’s a couple of EDGE prospects I considered here but the Chiefs bread and butter is their high powered offense and I’ve got them looking at IOL here. They should be returning some notable guards (Duvernay-Tardif and Niang) but I don’t think they have any great options right now for center. Humphrey should fill in nicely here. ROUND TWO: 33. Chicago Bears via Jacksonville Jaguars - Jalen Mayfield (OT) - Michigan 34. New York Jets - Alijah Vera-Tucker (IOL) - USC 35. Atlanta Falcons - Najee Harris (RB) - Alabama 36. Miami Dolphins via Houston Texans - Rondale Moore (WR) - Purdue 37. Philadelphia Eagles - Tyson Campbell (CB) - Georgia 38. Cincinnati Bengals - Trey Smith (IOL) - Tennessee 39. Carolina Panthers - Pat Freiermuth (TE) - Penn State 40. Denver Broncos - Dylan Moses (OLB) - Alabama 41. Detroit Lions - Jayson Oweh (EDGE) - Penn State 42. New York Giants - Terrace Marshall Jr. (WR) - LSU 43. San Francisco 49ers - Travis Etienne (RB) - Clemson 44. Dallas Cowboys - Carlos Basham Jr. (EDGE) - Wake Forest 45. Jacksonville Jaguars via Minnesota Vikings - Shaun Wade (CB) - Ohio State 46. New England Patriots - Kyle Trask (QB) - Florida 47. Los Angeles Chargers - Josh Myers (IOL/C) - Ohio State 48. Las Vegas Raiders - Trevon Moehrig (S) - TCU 49. Arizona Cardinals - Javonte Williams (RB) - North Carolina 50. Miami Dolphins - Jaelan Phillips (EDGE) - Miami 51. Minnesota Vikings via Washington Football Team - Jevon Holland (S) - Oregon 52. Chicago Bears - Kadarius Toney (WR) - Florida 53. Tennessee Titans - Jay Tufele (DT) - USC 54. Indianapolis Colts - Patrick Jones II (EDGE) - Pitt 55. Pittsburgh Steelers - Asante Samuel Jr. (CB) - Florida State 56. Seattle Seahawks - Teven Jenkins (OT) - Oklahoma State 57. Los Angeles Rams - Chazz Surratt (OLB) - North Carolina 58. Baltimore Ravens - Landon Dickerson (IOL/C) - Alabama 59. Cleveland Browns - Marvin Wilson (DT) - Florida State 60. New Orleans Saints - Paris Ford (S) - Pittsburgh 61. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Tyler Shelvin (DT) - LSU 62. Buffalo Bills - Hamilcar Rashed (EDGE) - Oregon State 63. Green Bay Packers - Paulson Adebo (CB) - Stanford 64. Kansas City Chiefs - Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR) - USC
[OC] Each team's WAP (wins above prediction) and what that means for Coach of the Year voting
A month or so ago, someone posted this tweet, which found that, for the past 10 years, the Coach of the Year award has always gone to the coach whose team had the most wins above their preseason win total according to bookmakers. With the season now final, I figured it would be worth taking a look again at how many wins Vegas predicted (using data found here), how they compare to the actual records, and see who it predicts will be COTY.
Team
Preseason
Actual
Wins above prediction
Arizona Cardinals
7.5
8
+0.5
Atlanta Falcons
7.5
4
-3.5
Baltimore Ravens
11.5
11
-0.5
Buffalo Bills
9
13
+4
Carolina Panthers
5.5
5
-0.5
Chicago Bears
8
8
0
Cincinnati Bengals
5.5
4.5*
-1
Cleveland Browns
8.5
11
+2.5
Dallas Cowboys
10
6
-4
Denver Broncos
7.5
5
-2.5
Detroit Lions
7
5
-2
Green Bay Packers
8.5
13
+4.5
Houston Texans
7.5
4
-3.5
Indianapolis Colts
9.5
11
+1.5
Jacksonville Jaguars
4.5
1
-3.5
Kansas City Chiefs
11.5
14
+2.5
Las Vegas Raiders
7.5
8
+0.5
Los Angeles Chargers
8
7
-1
Los Angeles Rams
8.5
10
+1.5
Miami Dolphins
6
10
+4
Minnesota Vikings
9
7
-2
New England Patriots
9
7
-2
New Orleans Saints
10.5
12
+1.5
New York Giants
6.5
6
-0.5
New York Jets
6.5
2
-4.5
Philadelphia Eagles
9.5
4.5*
-5
Pittsburgh Steelers
9.5
12
+2.5
San Francisco 49ers
10.5
6
-4.5
Seattle Seahawks
9.5
12
+2.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
9.5
11
+1.5
Tennessee Titans
8.5
11
+2.5
Washington Football Team
5
7
+2
(* Note: For Cincinnati and Philadelphia, I included the tie in their "actual" total for the purposes of evaluating their season, even though the thing being predicted was "win total", meaning the total for both would be 4 rather than 4.5 when determining whether the bet paid out or not.) Now we can look at the teams sorted by wins above prediction (which, naturally, can be abbreviated to WAP):
Team
WAP
Green Bay Packers
+4.5
Buffalo Bills
+4
Miami Dolphins
+4
Cleveland Browns
+2.5
Kansas City Chiefs
+2.5
Pittsburgh Steelers
+2.5
Seattle Seahawks
+2.5
Tennessee Titans
+2.5
Washington Football Team
+2
Indianapolis Colts
+1.5
Los Angeles Rams
+1.5
New Orleans Saints
+1.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
+1.5
Arizona Cardinals
+0.5
Las Vegas Raiders
+0.5
Chicago Bears
0
Baltimore Ravens
-0.5
Carolina Panthers
-0.5
New York Giants
-0.5
Cincinnati Bengals
-1
Los Angeles Chargers
-1
Detroit Lions
-2
Minnesota Vikings
-2
New England Patriots
-2
Denver Broncos
-2.5
Atlanta Falcons
-3.5
Houston Texans
-3.5
Jacksonville Jaguars
-3.5
Dallas Cowboys
-4
New York Jets
-4.5
San Francisco 49ers
-4.5
Philadelphia Eagles
-5
So the top three teams in WAP, by a pretty wide margin, are the Packers, Bills, and Dolphins. Going back to the tweet, these results would seem to imply that Matt LaFleur will be voted as Coach of the Year. However, Vegas seems to think otherwise. While that article is from last week, it shows LaFleur in a distant fifth place at +1400, well behind the other two WAP leaders (McDermott and Flores) as well as Stefanski and Rivera (and tied with Reid). McDermott was the favorite at +125, slightly above Flores at +150, and that ordering seems unlikely to change given the results of Dolphins @ Bills this week. In conclusion, it appears this 10-year streak will come to an end this season as either McDermott or Flores, both with a WAP 0.5 below the leader, will likely win Coach of the Year.
Super Bowl Futures - FULL list, every team covered!
I'm looking to pay YOU the odds listed below if YOUR chosen team wins it all! Bets are open until the beginning of the first playoff game at 12pm Central on Saturday, January 9. I STILL MAY (AT MY DISCRETION) ACCEPT LATE BETS, PARTICULARLY IF THE TEAM HASN'T BEGUN THEIR GAME, SO FEEL FREE TO ASK! I will accept total wagers of up to 10 ounces of .999 silver TOTAL PER TEAM. If you do not have any feedback/enough feedback for a wager, I may require you to put down a deposit with me. Odds (sourced from Vegas Insider: YOU have the team of your choice below! For example, you get 10 ounces on the Buccaneers to win it all. If the Buccaneers win the Super Bowl this season, I pay you 100 ounces of .999 silver! ✅ Buffalo Bills +700 - 5 ounces with wkk3211 - 5 ounces with tdb4807 - ADVANCED TO DIVISIONAL ROUND New Orleans Saints +700 - 3 ounces with Addictedtocoins - 3 ounces with trent6295 - 4 ounces OPEN ✅ Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1000 - 2 ounces with jamcclea - 3 ounces with GorillaX - 2 ounces with Addictedtocoins - 2 ounces with trent6295 - 5 ounces with ToiletPlungerOfDoom - ADVANCED TO DIVISIONAL ROUND ✅ Baltimore Ravens +1200 - 2 ounces with Mr_Sassypants - ADVANCED TO DIVISIONAL ROUND ❌ Seattle Seahawks +1300 - 3 ounces with wkk3211 - 2 ounces with Mr_Sassypants - 3 ounces with Addictedtocoins - 3 ounces with trent6295 - ELIMINATED IN WILD CARD ROUND Pittsburgh Steelers +2200 - 2 ounces with wkk3211 - 2 ounces with Addictedtocoins - 2 ounces with trent6295 - 4 ounces OPEN ❌ Tennessee Titans +2800 - 2 ounces with grimcow - 2 ounces with Dnzomniac - 3 ounces with Addictedtocoins - 3 ounces with trent6295 - ELIMINATED IN WILD CARD ROUND ✅ Los Angeles Rams +3000 - ADVANCED TO DIVISIONAL ROUND ❌ Indianapolis Colts +4000 - 1 ounce with PMmePreciousMetals - ELIMINATED IN WILD CARD ROUND Cleveland Browns +5000 - 10 ounces OPEN Chicago Bears +8000 - 10 ounces OPEN ❌ Washington Football Team +8000 - 2 ounces with Addictedtocoins - 2 ounces with trent6295 - 5 ounces with TheDonkeyDominator - ELIMINATED IN WILD CARD ROUND I would also like to wager MY OWN 10 ounces of silver vs. your 45 ounces of silver and I take the Packers to win it all, or MY OWN 10 ounces of silver vs. your 20 ounces of silver and I take the Chiefs to win it all. Kansas City Chiefs +200 - 10 ounces with ObjectiveAce Green Bay Packers +450 - 10 ounces with GodfatherOfGanja - 5 ounces with Dnzomniac because fuck it why not? Give me some action, and good luck!!!
The latest Baltimore team stats, NFL Futures & Specials, including Vegas Odds the Ravens Winning the NFL Championship, Baltimore NFL News & other info on the Baltimore Ravens. Pick the Ravens to win the Super Bowl with our Printable 2020 NFL Playoff Bracket, So what are you waiting for Signup and Bet on the Baltimore Ravens Today! Vegas, The Crowd's Line, and numberFire all have the Ravens taking the the home victory over the visiting Rams. I am weary however, especially considering the close margin of victory all three Baltimore Ravens odds. Ravens prop bets. Opponents failed to rush or pass on the Ravens’ defense, even holding teams like Houston and the Los Angeles Rams to a single score. They didn’t just stuff opponents– Baltimore forced multiple turnovers in nine games this past season. Rams vs. Ravens odds, line: Monday Night Football picks, predictions from top-rated model on 92-63 run SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated Monday's Rams vs. Ravens game 10,000 times. Las Vegas isn’t high on the Ravens in 2019-20 Examining the Ravens odds at the start of training camp By Spencer Schultz Jul 26, 2019, 9:00am EDT Ravens vs. Rams Game Details. Date: Monday, November 25 Time: 8:15 p.m. ET Location: LA Memorial Coliseum (Los Angeles) TV: ESPN Spread: Ravens -3 Total: 46.5 *All odds are courtesy of OddsShark. At BetMGM, the Rams are tied for the fourth-best odds in the NFL at +1200, right there with the Ravens and Bills. The Chiefs remain the favorites at +600, followed by the Packers (+900) and Los Angeles Rams Recent NFL History, News & Betting Odds. We offer the latest Los Angeles Rams Game Odds, Rams Live Odds, This Weeks Los Angeles Rams team totals, spreads and lines. The latest Los Angeles team stats, NFL Futures & Specials, including Vegas Odds the Rams Winning the NFL Championship, Los Angeles NFL News & other info on the Los Vegas Has Ravens With Second-Best 2021 Super Bowl Odds The Ravens have 7-1 odds at Caesars and are tied with the San Francisco 49ers at 8-1 at Rams 30-1 Browns 30-1 Bears 30-1 Chargers Examples seen on the NFL Vegas Odds pages could include -08, -12, -15 and -20. The -10 price is the most common value in the industry while many books offer reduced 'juice odds' and that would fall into the -08 category. The lower-juice sportsbooks are normally found outside of the state Nevada.
PROOF That Super Bowl 53 Was RIGGED by the NFL - YouTube
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